Prediction for match UNAM Pumas — Mazatlán

Match Analysis: UNAM Pumas vs Mazatlán

On April 12, a Liga MX match between UNAM Pumas and Mazatlán will take place. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for UNAM Pumas is at 1.43, a draw is at 4.50, and a victory for Mazatlán is at 6.58. Based on the implied probabilities, UNAM Pumas has a 65.14% chance of winning, a draw is at 20.70%, and Mazatlán has a 14.16% chance. UNAM Pumas is considered the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and the distribution of chances for victory.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, UNAM Pumas recorded the following results: April 6 - Guadalajara vs UNAM Pumas - 2-2, March 22 - UNAM Pumas vs Club América - 1-0, March 15 - UNAM Pumas vs Cruz Azul - 2-2. Over the same period, Mazatlán played as follows: April 4 - Necaxa vs Mazatlán - 2-1, March 21 - Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul - 1-1, March 16 - Club América vs Mazatlán - 2-0. In their last head-to-head meeting on September 13, 2025, Mazatlán lost to UNAM Pumas 1-4. According to secondary statistics, UNAM Pumas averages 42.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game over five matches. Mazatlán averages 36.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1 offside.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have shown attacking football: UNAM Pumas averages 3 goals per game, while Mazatlán averages 3.6. UNAM Pumas scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4, whereas Mazatlán scores 1.4 and concedes 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches go over. In terms of halves, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals in the first half, and similarly, 3 out of 5 in the second half. In terms of goal timing, UNAM Pumas is most productive between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (43% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (50%). Mazatlán scores most frequently between 46-60 minutes (36%) and concedes towards the end of the first and second halves (40% each in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals). Overall, both teams tend to play open games, regularly scoring and conceding, and the over 2.5 goals is supported by both average figures and frequency by halves.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

UNAM Pumas averages 3.2 corners per game over 5 matches, while Mazatlán averages 3.6. For over 9.5 corners: UNAM Pumas had 3 out of 5 matches go over, and Mazatlán had 4 out of 5. Among the proposed totals, the closest to the average sum (6.8) is the 7.5 line. For the total corners of 7.5, the odds are: over 7.5 - 1.23, under 7.5 - 3.60. For the corner outcome, UNAM Pumas is favored with odds of 1.40. Overall, both teams do not excel in corner productivity, but the over 7.5 total has been regularly reached. Meanwhile, betting on UNAM Pumas to win the corner count seems most logical, considering their stability in recent matches.