Prediction for match UNAM Pumas — Monterrey

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

On February 22, UNAM Pumas will face Monterrey in Liga MX. According to bookmakers, Monterrey is favored to win with odds of 2.39, giving them a 38.78% chance of success. UNAM Pumas has odds of 2.73, corresponding to a 33.95% probability. A draw is priced at 3.40 with a 27.26% likelihood. This suggests a balanced match where Monterrey holds a slight edge, but UNAM Pumas can still put up a fight. Expect both teams to engage in active attacking play, considering their scoring statistics and recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, UNAM Pumas defeated Puebla 3-2 (14.02.2026), won against San Diego 1-0 (11.02.2026), and drew with Atlas 2-2 (08.02.2026). Monterrey, in their last three games, beat Leon 1-0 (15.02.2026), overcame Xelajú 2-0 (12.02.2026), and lost to Club America 0-1 (08.02.2026). Their last head-to-head encounter ended in a 1-1 draw (19.10.2025), indicating a tense rivalry. In terms of secondary statistics over five matches, UNAM Pumas had 47.6% possession, committed 10 fouls, received 1.6 yellow cards, and were caught offside once on average. Monterrey had 59% possession, committed 13 fouls, received 2 yellow cards, and averaged 1.6 offsides. These figures highlight the difference in playing styles: Monterrey prefers ball control, while UNAM Pumas adopts a more pragmatic approach.

Goals According to Match Statistics

Both teams have shown impressive scoring ability in their last five matches. UNAM Pumas averages 3.8 total goals per match, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.6. Monterrey also performs well, with an average total of 2.8, scoring 2 and conceding just 0.8. For over 2.5 total goals, 4 out of 5 UNAM Pumas games ended with three or more goals, while Monterrey had 2 out of 5. In the first half, UNAM Pumas had over 1.5 total goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Monterrey in 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals. Regarding goal intervals, UNAM Pumas frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (31% each), while Monterrey scores late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%). UNAM Pumas concedes most often between the 31st-45th minutes (50%), Monterrey between the 16th and 30th minutes (38%). Given the high scoring potential of both teams, especially UNAM Pumas, and regular over 2.5 goal outcomes, betting on over 2.5 total goals at 1.79 seems reasonable for this matchup.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For average corners over five matches, UNAM Pumas averages 1, while Monterrey averages 5.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 1 out of 5 for UNAM Pumas and 3 out of 5 for Monterrey. The most closely aligned line with the average sum (6.4) is 7.5 corners: over 7.5 is priced at 1.30, under 7.5 at 3.12. There's also a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is 1.90, under 9.5 is 1.84. UNAM Pumas is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.95. Considering Monterrey delivers significantly more corners, it's logical to consider individual Monterrey stats or a total closer to 8-9 corners. Overall, the match may offer a moderate number of set pieces, but there's no clear inclination towards a high total.