Prediction for match Uganda — Nigeria, 30.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Africa Cup of Nations, Uganda faces Nigeria on December 30, 2025. The odds for the match outcome are: Nigeria win at 2.34, draw at 3.20, and Uganda win at 3.55. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Uganda - 27.58%, draw - 30.59%, Nigeria - 41.83%. Based on the odds and probabilities, Nigeria appears to have the edge, although a draw is also a possibility.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Uganda drew 1-1 with Tanzania (27.12.2025), lost to Tunisia 1-3 (23.12.2025), and were defeated by Morocco 0-4 (18.11.2025). During the same period, Nigeria beat Tunisia 3-2 (27.12.2025), won against Tanzania 2-1 (23.12.2025), and lost to Egypt 1-2 (16.12.2025). The last head-to-head on November 20, 2018, ended in a goalless draw. Over a five-match span, Uganda averages 47.67% possession, 2.33 yellow cards, 10.67 fouls, and 2.33 offsides per game. Nigeria averages 59.5% possession, 2 yellow cards, 20.5 fouls, and 1 offside on average.

Total Goals Statistics

Over a span of 5 games, Uganda's average total goals is 3.33, while Nigeria's is 4. For over 2.5 goals: Uganda has 3 out of 5, Nigeria 4 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded twice for both teams, while in the second half, it was 4 out of 5 for Uganda and 3 out of 5 for Nigeria. Uganda's average goals scored is 0.67, while Nigeria's is 2.5, with Uganda conceding 2.67 and Nigeria 1.5. In terms of goal timing, Uganda most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (55%), and Nigeria between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%). For goals conceded: Uganda most frequently concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), and Nigeria 33% in the intervals 31-45 and 76-90. Considering Nigeria's high scoring ability, attacking profile, and frequent over 2.5 goals, combined with Uganda's low scoring rate, the best bet seems to be on under 2.5 goals at 1.61.

Corner Bets

Uganda averages 3 corners per game, while Nigeria averages 5. Over 5 matches, the total over 9.5 corners occurred twice for both teams. The closest line to the average total corners (8) is 8.5 and 9.5. For a total of 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.68, under 8.5 at 1.90. In terms of corners, Nigeria is the favorite with odds of 1.55. Given these figures, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical, considering Nigeria's attacking style and Uganda's moderate activity in this regard.