Prediction for match Ukraine — Iceland, 16.11.2025

Match Analysis: Ukraine vs Iceland

In the World Cup European Qualifiers on November 16, 2025, Ukraine will face Iceland. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Ukraine's victory is priced at 1.70, a draw at 3.60, and Iceland's win at 5.00. In percentage terms, Ukraine has a 55.18% chance of winning, a draw is at 26.06%, and Iceland's chances stand at 18.76%. Ukraine is favored in this matchup, as reflected in the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Over their last five matches, Ukraine averages 48% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Iceland's stats show 52.8% possession, 1.4 cards, 12.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In Ukraine's last three matches: November 13, 2025, France vs Ukraine 4-0, October 13, 2025, Ukraine vs Azerbaijan 2-1, October 10, 2025, Iceland vs Ukraine 3-5. For Iceland: November 13, 2025, Azerbaijan vs Iceland 0-2, October 13, 2025, Iceland vs France 2-2, October 10, 2025, Iceland vs Ukraine 3-5. In their head-to-head on October 10, 2025, Iceland and Ukraine played out a 3-5 match, with the over 2.5 goals bet comfortably winning.

Goals Statistics

Ukraine has an average of 3.8 goals per match over their last five games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2. Iceland's average total is even higher at 4.4, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.8. In the last five matches, the over 2.5 goals bet came through for Ukraine 3 times and for Iceland 4 times. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals occurred for Ukraine 2 times and for Iceland 3 times; in the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals. Ukraine most frequently scores between the 61st-75th (30%) and 76th-90th (30%) minutes, while Iceland scores most often between the 61st-75th (42%). Ukraine concedes most in the 31st-45th (33%) and 76th-90th (33%) minutes, and Iceland in the 31st-45th (30%). Both teams tend to play more actively in the second half, as shown by the frequency of goals. Based on this data, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.10 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five matches, Ukraine averages 4.4 corners, while Iceland averages 2.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is low, with both teams achieving it 1 out of 5 times. The over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.67, and under 8.5 at 2.10. Ukraine's win on corners is offered at 1.40. Given the average corner stats, a bet on under 9 total corners or Iceland's individual total under 3.5 at 1.67 seems logical.