Prediction for match Ukraine — Sweden

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the World Cup qualification match between Ukraine and Sweden on 26.03.2026, the odds are as follows: Sweden winning is priced at 2.60, Ukraine's victory is at 3.07, and a draw is offered at 3.27. According to bookmakers, the probabilities are: Ukraine - 32.06%, draw - 30.09%, Sweden - 37.85%. Although Sweden is favored by the odds, the difference between the teams is not overwhelming. The betting line also includes options for totals and individual performances, allowing for various betting strategies in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Ukraine has an average ball possession of 49.4%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. Sweden is slightly more active in these metrics: average possession of 55.6%, 2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and also 1.4 offsides per match. Ukraine's last three results were: 16.11.2025 - Ukraine 2-0 Iceland, 13.11.2025 - France 4-0 Ukraine, 13.10.2025 - Ukraine 2-1 Azerbaijan. Sweden's recent results include: 18.11.2025 - Sweden 1-1 Slovenia, 15.11.2025 - Switzerland 4-1 Sweden, 13.10.2025 - Sweden 0-1 Kosovo. Their last head-to-head was on 29.06.2021: Sweden 1-2 Ukraine.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Ukraine vs Sweden Match

In their last five matches, Ukraine averages a total of 3.8 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 1.8. Sweden's average is noticeably lower at 2.4 goals per game, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of Ukraine's 5 matches, while only 1 of Sweden's 5 matches had the same result. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Ukraine had 4 out of 5 and Sweden 3 out of 5. Ukraine most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (42%), while Sweden also scores most in this interval (29%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding at the end of the first half: Ukraine - 43% between 31-45 minutes, Sweden - 40% in the same period and another 40% between 61-75 minutes. The statistics indicate Ukraine's high scoring ability and Sweden's attacking struggles, but both defenses seem unreliable. Considering Ukraine's average scoring and frequent second-half goals, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.56 seems justified: a refund for two goals, and a win for three or more.

Betting on Corners

Ukraine averages 4.2 corners per match, while Sweden averages 5.8. In the last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times for Ukraine and 3 times for Sweden. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.76. Sweden is considered the favorite for corners with odds of 1.93. Expect 9-11 corners, with Sweden slightly more likely to have the edge in this aspect. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering both teams' averages and the frequency of this line being achieved.