Prediction for match Union Berlin — 1.FC Köln

Match Odds and Probabilities

On May 2nd, Union Berlin will face 1.FC Köln in the Bundesliga. The odds for Union Berlin to win are set at 2.54, a draw is at 3.43, and a win for 1.FC Köln is at 3.02. The probabilities according to bookmakers are as follows: Union Berlin - 38.74%, draw - 28.68%, 1.FC Köln - 32.58%. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" option is offered at 1.68, while the opposite is at 2.08. Among the goal totals, the odds for over 2.5 goals are at 1.97, and under 2.5 goals are also at 1.97. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" bet appears most appealing given the odds and statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Union Berlin lost to RB Leipzig 1-3 (April 24), Wolfsburg 1-2 (April 18), and Heidenheim 1-3 (April 11). 1.FC Köln lost to Bayer 1-2 (April 25), drew with St. Pauli 1-1 (April 17), and defeated Werder 3-1 (April 12). In their head-to-head match on December 20, 2025, 1.FC Köln lost to Union Berlin 0-1. Additional statistics show Union Berlin averages 44.2% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides in a five-match span. 1.FC Köln averages 48.2% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 7.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. These figures reflect the difference in style and discipline between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Union Berlin's average total goals stand at 3.4, while 1.FC Köln's is at 3.8. Union Berlin scores 0.8 and concedes 2.6 goals per game, whereas 1.FC Köln scores 2 and concedes 1.8. The over 2.5 goals bet has landed 4 out of 5 times for both teams. In the first half, Union Berlin saw over 1.5 goals 3 times, 1.FC Köln once; in the second half, Union Berlin had over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, 1.FC Köln 5 out of 5. Union Berlin frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (25%), while 1.FC Köln scores most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). Union Berlin concedes evenly across all segments, 20% in each of the five intervals, while 1.FC Köln concedes most often in the second half: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each). The statistics of both teams regarding over 2.5 goals and consistent scoring from both sides, especially in the second half, support the "Both Teams to Score: Yes" bet. Union Berlin consistently concedes, while 1.FC Köln is prolific in scoring and also allows goals. In their last five matches, Union Berlin failed to score only once, while 1.FC Köln scored in all their games. The fact that 1.FC Köln averages 2 goals per game and Union Berlin concedes 2.6 further supports the expectation of goals from both sides. Union Berlin has only once played a "Both Teams to Score: No" in their last five matches. 1.FC Köln conceded in each of their last five matches and scored at least twice in four of those.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Union Berlin averages 5.4 corners per game, while 1.FC Köln averages 3.4. In their last five matches, Union Berlin exceeded the over 9.5 corners total three times, and 1.FC Köln did so twice. Considering the corners total, the closest line to the average sum (8.8) is 8.5, with the odds for over 8.5 corners at 1.40 and under 8.5 at 2.64. Union Berlin is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.75. Both teams are capable of earning corners, but Union Berlin does so more frequently. A bet on over 8.5 corners or Union Berlin to win the corner count seems logical. The fact that Union Berlin consistently delivers over 5 corners per match, and 1.FC Köln can add their 3-4, supports the over bet. In three of their last five matches, Union Berlin exceeded the 9.5 corners total, and 1.FC Köln did so twice, confirming the trend of high corner counts in their matches. Overall, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified given the current team statistics.