Prediction for match Union Berlin — Arminia Bielefeld, 29.10.2025

Who is the favorite in the Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld match?

In the DFB Pokal on October 29, Union Berlin faces Arminia Bielefeld. The odds for Union to win are 1.67, which corresponds to a probability of 56.23%. A draw is priced at 4.10 (22.90%), while Arminia's success is at 4.50 (20.87%). Union Berlin is the clear favorite according to bookmakers and percentages, which is also confirmed by the comparison of recent results of both teams.

Team results and statistics

In the last five matches, Union Berlin scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, conceding the same amount - 1.4. The total scoring average is 2.8 goals per game. Recent matches for Union include a 0-1 loss to Werder on 24.10.2025 and a 3-1 victory over Borussia M on 17.10.2025. Arminia Bielefeld has averaged higher in both goals scored (1.6) and conceded (2.4), with a total match goal average of 4. For example, a 2-0 win against Elversberg on 25.10.2025 and a 3-4 loss to Paderborn on 18.10.2025. In head-to-head encounters over recent years, Union has had the upper hand: in a series of five matches, Union won four with clean sheets and had one draw (0-0 in March 2021).

Goals by match statistics

Union Berlin exceeded 2.5 goals in two out of five games, while Arminia Bielefeld exceeded it four times out of five. Union's average total goals is 2.8, while Arminia's is 4. By halves, Union scored and conceded more often in the second half: 33% of goals came in the 76-90 minute interval, with conceded goals highlighted in the 31-45 and 46-60 minute intervals (33% each). Arminia's most productive interval is 46-60 minutes (55% of goals scored). In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were scored by Union twice, Arminia three times. In the second half, more than 1.5 goals: Union - 1, Arminia - 3. Overall, Arminia tends to have more open matches, while Union shows a slightly more restrained dynamic.

Corners in the match

Both teams have an identical average of 4.4 corners per game over a stretch of five matches. The frequency of total corners over 9.5: Union - 2 out of 5, Arminia - 1 out of 5. The odds for total corners over 10 are 1.80, under 10 - 2.00. A victory on corners is more often predicted for Union: the odds for this outcome are 1.62.