Prediction for match Union Berlin — Bayer Leverkusen, 21.02.2026

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen

In the Bundesliga on February 21st, Union Berlin will face Bayer Leverkusen. The odds for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Bayer Leverkusen's victory is priced at 2.55, Union Berlin's win at 2.98, and a draw at 3.47. In terms of probabilities: Union Berlin has 33.03%, a draw 28.37%, and Bayer Leverkusen 38.60%. Bayer Leverkusen appears to be the favorite according to the percentages, but the gap is not too large, adding intrigue to the upcoming match. Both teams have shown different dynamics in recent matches, which is reflected in the odds and the distribution of winning chances.

Team Results and Statistics

Union Berlin averages 41.8% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides per game over their last five matches. Bayer Leverkusen shows a higher possession rate of 61.6%, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides on average per match. In Union Berlin's last three matches: 14.02.2026 Hamburg - Union Berlin 3-2, 06.02.2026 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1, 31.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 3-1. Bayer Leverkusen played as follows: 18.02.2026 Olympiacos - Bayer Leverkusen 0-2, 14.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 4-0, 07.02.2026 Borussia M - Bayer Leverkusen 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 04.10.2025, Bayer Leverkusen defeated Union Berlin 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of goal activity, Union Berlin has an average total of 3.2 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1 and conceding 2.2 per game. Bayer Leverkusen has an average total of 3, scoring 2.6 and conceding only 0.4. For over 2.5 goals: both teams have seen 3 out of 5 matches end with "over 2.5". In the first half, Union Berlin went over 1.5 goals twice out of five, while Bayer Leverkusen did so three times. In the second half, Union Berlin exceeded 1.5 goals all five times, Bayer Leverkusen four out of five. In terms of goal intervals: Union Berlin most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), and concedes late in the game between 76-90 minutes (50%). Bayer Leverkusen is most productive in the first 15 minutes (33%) and most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (33%). Both teams tend to play high-scoring games, especially in the second half. Considering the average scoring of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goal matches, and high second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Union Berlin averages 6.6 corners per match, Bayer Leverkusen 4. Over the last five games, Union Berlin exceeded 9.5 corners twice, and went under three times. Bayer Leverkusen similarly went over 9.5 corners twice and under three times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.92. In terms of corner outcomes, Bayer Leverkusen is the favorite with odds of 2.00. Given Union Berlin's average corner activity and Bayer Leverkusen's stable figures, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks logical for this match.