Prediction for match Union Santa Fe — Newells Old Boys

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Argentine Professional League on April 17, Union Santa Fe will face Newells Old Boys. According to the odds, Union Santa Fe is the favorite: their victory is offered at 1.62, a draw at 3.62, and a win for Newells Old Boys at 5.75. In terms of probabilities, Union Santa Fe has a 57.83% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.88%, and Newells Old Boys at 16.29%. Among the totals, the under 2.5 goals line stands out with odds of 1.64, making this outcome one of the most likely according to analysts.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Union Santa Fe played as follows: April 11, 2026, Estudiantes vs. Union Santa Fe 2-1, April 3, 2026, Union Santa Fe vs. Deportivo Riestra 2-0, March 21, 2026, Defensa y Justicia vs. Union Santa Fe 2-0. Newells Old Boys' last three games were: April 12, 2026, Newells Old Boys vs. San Lorenzo 0-0, April 5, 2026, Central Cordoba de Santiago vs. Newells Old Boys 1-3, March 21, 2026, Newells Old Boys vs. Gimnasia M. 1-0. In their head-to-head on November 1, 2025, Newells Old Boys lost to Union Santa Fe 0-1. In additional metrics, Union Santa Fe averages 51% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game over a five-match span. Newells Old Boys maintains 47.4% possession, receives 1.6 yellows, commits 11.2 fouls, and averages 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Union Santa Fe vs. Newells Old Boys Match

In the last five matches, Union Santa Fe has an average of 3.4 goals per game, while Newells Old Boys averages 2.4. Union Santa Fe scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.8, while Newells Old Boys scores 1 and concedes 1.4. Both teams have a 2 out of 5 record for over 2.5 goals. In the first half, Union Santa Fe only surpassed the 1.5 goal mark once out of five, and Newells Old Boys twice. In the second half, Union Santa Fe has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Newells Old Boys 2 out of 5. Union Santa Fe most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (36%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%). Newells Old Boys scores most frequently in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes, each at 25%, and concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes, 50%). Despite Union Santa Fe's relatively high average goal stats, both teams have a 2 out of 5 balance for over 2.5 goals, and both tend to play low-scoring first halves. This provides a basis for considering a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.64 as the main option.

Corner Totals Analysis

Union Santa Fe averages 5.8 corners per match, and Newells Old Boys 3.2. In the last five matches, both teams have surpassed the 9.5 corner total twice out of five. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9) is over 9 at 2.12 and under 9 at 2.13. There's also a notable line for over 8.5 at 1.87 and under 8.5 at 1.87. For corner outcomes, Union Santa Fe is favored with odds of 1.25. Considering Union Santa Fe's average corner activity and Newells Old Boys' moderate numbers, it's logical to consider a bet on total corners over 8.5 or Union Santa Fe's individual total over 5.5 corners.