Prediction for match Union Saint-Gilloise — Dender

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Jupiler Pro League on 14.03.2026, Union Saint-Gilloise faces Dender, and the odds for this match indicate a clear advantage for one side. A victory for Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 1.26, a draw at 5.75, and Dender at 12.10. The probability of Union Saint-Gilloise winning is 75.57%, a draw is 16.56%, and Dender's chances are only 7.87%. This scenario reflects the difference in class and current form, as well as recent results between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Union Saint-Gilloise in their last five matches has an average possession of 59.4%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and records 5.2 offsides per game. Dender's averages are as follows: 48.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In the last three matches for Union Saint-Gilloise: 07.03.2026 - Union Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2-1, 01.03.2026 - Westerlo - Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0, 21.02.2026 - Union Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp 2-1. For Dender: 07.03.2026 - Dender - Charleroi 2-2, 01.03.2026 - Cercle Brugge - Dender 0-0, 21.02.2026 - Dender - Sint-Truiden 1-4. Their last head-to-head was on 14.01.2026: Dender - Union Saint-Gilloise 0-2.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Dender

In the last 5 matches, both teams have seen the total go over 2.5 goals three times. Union Saint-Gilloise averages 2.2 goals per game, and Dender 3. Union Saint-Gilloise scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 0.8, while Dender scores 1 and concedes 2. By halves, Union Saint-Gilloise only had over 1.5 goals in the first half once out of five, and twice in the second half. Dender had over 1.5 goals three times in the first half and also three times in the second half. In terms of intervals, Union Saint-Gilloise most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute segments (29% each), while they concede evenly throughout the quarters of the match. Dender most often scores in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute segments (29% each), and concedes most frequently at the end (76-90 minutes - 33%). Considering these data, as well as the average scoring of both teams and their opponents, a bet on over 2.5 total goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Union Saint-Gilloise averages 6.4 corners per match, Dender 4.2. In the last 5 games, Union Saint-Gilloise has seen the total over 9.5 corners twice, and Dender four times. When considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of the averages is 10.5, but among the available options, there's a pair at 9.5: total corners over 9.5 - odds unavailable, under 9.5 - odds unavailable. For individual totals: Union Saint-Gilloise often delivers more than 6.5 (odds: over 6.5 - 1.80, under 6.5 - 1.91), and for Dender, the line is at 2.5 (over 2.5 - 1.91, under 2.5 - 1.80). It's logical to expect Union Saint-Gilloise to be more active in corners, and the overall total could approach 10. It's also worth noting that both teams have a tendency for a high number of corners in several matches.