Prediction for match Union Saint-Gilloise — Genk

Match Analysis: Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk

In the Jupiler Pro League on March 7, Union Saint-Gilloise will face off against Genk. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 1.67, a draw at 3.99, and a victory for Genk at 5.06. Probability-wise, Union Saint-Gilloise has a 57.19% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.94%, and Genk winning is at 18.87%. This setup reflects Union Saint-Gilloise's advantage in the eyes of analysts, but Genk's attacking potential shouldn't be underestimated. Options for totals and both teams to score are also widely available, indicating a potentially high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Union Saint-Gilloise has had an average possession of 56.8%, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 14.2 fouls, and recorded 4.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Genk has maintained 53% possession, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 9 fouls, and been caught offside 2.6 times. Recent results for Union Saint-Gilloise: 01.03.2026 - Westerlo 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise, 21.02.2026 - Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Royal Antwerp, 14.02.2026 - Standard Liège 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise. For Genk: 01.03.2026 - Genk 3-0 Gent, 26.02.2026 - Genk 3-3 Dinamo Zagreb, 22.02.2026 - Genk 0-3 Standard Liège. In their last head-to-head on 21.09.2025, Genk lost 1-2 to Union Saint-Gilloise.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk

Union Saint-Gilloise averages 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches, while Genk has a significantly higher average of 4.2. Union Saint-Gilloise scores 1.2 and concedes 0.6, whereas Genk scores 2.4 and concedes 1.8. In their last five matches, Union Saint-Gilloise's games went over 2.5 goals 2 times, while Genk's did 5 out of 5 times. For halves, Union Saint-Gilloise had over 1.5 goals in only 1 out of 5 matches in both halves, while Genk had over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times in each half. Union Saint-Gilloise most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Genk scores most between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%). Union Saint-Gilloise concedes evenly across three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 (33% each). Genk most often concedes between the 31st and 45th, and 61st and 75th minutes (25% each). Given Genk's high scoring and Union Saint-Gilloise's defensive stability, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.86 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five games, Union Saint-Gilloise averaged 6.4 corners, while Genk averaged 6.2. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, both teams passed 3 out of 5 times. Among the available corner totals, closest to the average sum (12.6) is the line at 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.15, under 11.5 at 1.29. In corner outcomes, Union Saint-Gilloise has the edge, with odds of 1.47 for their success. Given that both teams regularly deliver 6 or more corners, it's logical to consider bets on over 9.5 total corners or individual totals, as well as Union Saint-Gilloise's victory in corners.