Prediction for match Union Saint-Gilloise — Mechelen, 17.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Jupiler Pro League on January 17, 2026, Union Saint-Gilloise will face Mechelen. The odds for the main outcome are as follows: a win for Union Saint-Gilloise is at 1.33, a draw is at 5.18, and a win for Mechelen is at 9.75. The 1X2 probabilities are: 71.78% for Union Saint-Gilloise, 18.43% for a draw, and 9.79% for Mechelen's success. Based on these figures, Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite, while Mechelen is considered the underdog.

Team Results and Statistics

Union Saint-Gilloise's last three matches were as follows: 26.12.2025 - Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1, 20.12.2025 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem 2-0, 14.12.2025 - Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1. Mechelen's last three games were: 27.12.2025 - Mechelen vs Dender 1-1, 21.12.2025 - Sint-Truiden vs Mechelen 1-0, 13.12.2025 - Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen 2-3. In their head-to-head encounter on 09.11.2025, Mechelen and Union Saint-Gilloise drew 1-1. Over the last five games, Union Saint-Gilloise had an average possession of 53.4%, recorded 2.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 4.4 offsides per match. Mechelen's averages were 53.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Union Saint-Gilloise had an average total goals of 2.6, while Mechelen had 2.0. For goals scored: Union Saint-Gilloise - 1.4, Mechelen - 1.0; for goals conceded: 1.2 vs 1.0. The over 2.5 total was recorded once in 5 matches for both teams, and under 2.5 was seen 4 times out of 5. In the first half, Union Saint-Gilloise scored over 1.5 goals 2 times, Mechelen - once. In the second half, both teams had only one occurrence of over 1.5 goals in 5 games. Goal intervals: Union Saint-Gilloise most frequently scores in the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while Mechelen scores mostly in the first 15 minutes (60%). For goals conceded: Union Saint-Gilloise often concedes in the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each), Mechelen in the 31-45 and 46-60 minute intervals (40% each). Given the low scoring nature of both sides in over 2.5 totals and average goal values, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.30 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Union Saint-Gilloise averages 4.8 corners over five matches, Mechelen - 6.2. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Union Saint-Gilloise had no overs, while Mechelen had 3 out of 5. Among the available lines for corner totals, there is a pair at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.63, under 9.5 is at 2.06. For the outcome on corners, Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite with odds of 1.16. Together, both teams average 11 corners per match, making a bet on over 9.5 corners justified based on recent games' statistics.