Prediction for match Union Saint-Gilloise — Zulte Waregem, 03.12.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On December 3, 2025, Union Saint-Gilloise will face Zulte Waregem in the Belgian Cup. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 1.28, a draw at 5.20, and a win for Zulte Waregem at 10.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Union Saint-Gilloise 73.16%, draw 18.01%, Zulte Waregem 8.83%. Union Saint-Gilloise is clearly favored, as reflected in both the odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Union Saint-Gilloise had an average possession of 47.2%, recorded 2.4 yellow cards, committed 14 fouls, and were caught offside 1.2 times per game. Zulte Waregem, over the same period, averaged 41.8% possession, 1 yellow card, 14.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Union Saint-Gilloise's last three matches: 30.11.2025 Anderlecht - Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0, 25.11.2025 Galatasaray - Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1, 22.11.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge 2-0. Zulte Waregem's matches: 29.11.2025 Zulte Waregem - Cercle Brugge 1-1, 21.11.2025 Standard Liège - Zulte Waregem 0-0, 07.11.2025 Dender - Zulte Waregem 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 01.11.2025, Zulte Waregem lost to Union Saint-Gilloise 1-4.

Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, Union Saint-Gilloise averaged 1 goal scored and 1 conceded, with a total average of 2 goals per game. Zulte Waregem had slightly higher averages with 1 goal scored, 1.6 conceded, and 2.6 total goals per match. For over 2.5 goals: Union Saint-Gilloise had 1 out of 5, Zulte Waregem 2 out of 5. In the first half, Union Saint-Gilloise never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Zulte Waregem did so once in 5 matches. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 occasions. Goal intervals: Union Saint-Gilloise most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%) and concedes in the same interval 67% of the time. Zulte Waregem distributes their goals evenly across all intervals, 20% in each of the five intervals, but most often concedes between the 31st and 60th minutes (33% in each of the two intervals). In this context, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.62 seems reasonable: both teams can score, and Zulte Waregem's defense allows an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Union Saint-Gilloise averages 5 corners per match, while Zulte Waregem averages 3.8. In the last five matches, Union Saint-Gilloise exceeded the 9.5 corner total three times, while Zulte Waregem did so twice. Among the corner total odds, there is a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.53, under 9.5 at 2.30. Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.23. Considering the average figures and recent trends, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical in this matchup.