Prediction for match Universitatea Craiova — Mainz 05

Match Analysis: Universitatea Craiova vs Mainz 05

The UEFA Conference League match between Universitatea Craiova and Mainz 05 will take place on November 27, 2025. According to the odds, Mainz 05 is favored: their win is priced at 1.85, Universitatea Craiova at 4.57, and a draw at 3.68. The outcome probabilities are: Universitatea Craiova - 21.22%, draw - 26.35%, Mainz 05 - 52.42%. The over/under 2.5 goals market is evenly priced at 1.94 for both. For both teams to score, 'Yes' is at 1.78 and 'No' at 1.93. Overall, Mainz 05 is the favorite according to both odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Universitatea Craiova has averaged 61.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Mainz 05, over the same period, averaged 46.6% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. Recent results for Universitatea Craiova: November 21 Argeș Pitești 1-2 Universitatea Craiova, November 9 Universitatea Craiova 1-2 UTA Arad, November 6 Rapid Vienna 0-1 Universitatea Craiova. For Mainz 05: November 21 Mainz 05 1-1 Hoffenheim, November 9 Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz 05, November 6 Mainz 05 2-1 Fiorentina. There are no head-to-head records between these teams. Universitatea Craiova has two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Mainz 05 has one win, two draws, and two losses. Universitatea Craiova slightly trails Mainz 05 in yellow cards, while fouls are nearly identical. On average, Universitatea Craiova has more ball possession.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Universitatea Craiova averages 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. Mainz 05 has an average total of 2.0, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Universitatea Craiova has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Mainz 05 has seen it in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Universitatea Craiova has over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, while Mainz 05 has 0 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have over 1.5 goals in only 1 out of 5. Universitatea Craiova most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), and Mainz 05 between 76-90 minutes (60%). In terms of goals conceded, Universitatea Craiova concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (43%), while Mainz 05 concedes most often between 0-15 minutes (40%). Considering Mainz 05's low scoring rate and Universitatea Craiova's average scoring, along with Mainz 05's frequent under 2.5 totals (4 out of 5), it makes sense to consider betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.94.

Corners in the Match

On average over the last 5 games, Universitatea Craiova has 7 corners, Mainz 05 - 3.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Universitatea Craiova is 4 out of 5, and for Mainz 05 - 1 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over is priced at 1.86, under at 1.88. Based on the stats, Universitatea Craiova regularly wins a lot of corners, and the overall frequency of over 9.5 is quite high for this team. It's logical to consider over 9.5 corners in the match.