Prediction for match Urawa Red Diamonds — FC Tokyo

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the J1 League on May 16, Urawa Red Diamonds will face FC Tokyo. The odds for FC Tokyo to win are 2.50, for Urawa Red Diamonds to succeed - 2.82, and a draw is priced at 3.15. The probabilities for outcomes are distributed as follows: FC Tokyo - 37.31%, Urawa Red Diamonds - 33.08%, draw - 29.61%. According to these figures, FC Tokyo has a slight edge, but the gap between the teams is minimal, as reflected in the odds. The goal totals also appear balanced: over 2.0 goals is at 1.53, and over 2.5 goals is at 2.07. Both teams to score: yes - 1.78, no - 1.93. The option for over 2.0 goals stands out as the most likely among the total bets, considering the odds of 1.53.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Urawa Red Diamonds have an average possession of 58.2%, receive 0.6 yellow cards, commit 8.2 fouls, and are caught offside 1.4 times per game. FC Tokyo, over the same period, holds the ball 54.2% of the time, receives 1 yellow card, commits 10.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. In their last three matches, Urawa Red Diamonds played as follows: May 9, 2026 - Mito Hollyhock 1-4 Urawa Red Diamonds, May 6, 2026 - Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds, May 2, 2026 - Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 JEF United Chiba. FC Tokyo's recent results: May 10, 2026 - FC Tokyo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy, May 6, 2026 - FC Tokyo 0-3 JEF United Chiba, May 2, 2026 - FC Tokyo 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale. Their last head-to-head on February 14, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

On average over 5 matches, Urawa Red Diamonds score 2.2 goals and concede 0.8, while FC Tokyo scores 2.4 and concedes 1.4, resulting in 3 goals per game for Urawa and 3.8 for Tokyo. Over five games, Urawa's total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, while FC Tokyo's happened four times. By halves, Urawa had over 1.5 goals once in the first half and three times in the second; FC Tokyo did so twice in the first half and three times in the second. Urawa Red Diamonds most frequently score between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), conceding most often in the final 15 minutes (76th-90th minute - 38%). FC Tokyo is most productive at the end of the first half (31st-45th minute - 50%), conceding evenly across three intervals: 16th-30th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (22% each). The combined goal stats and frequency of totals suggest a high-scoring match, with over 2.0 goals at 1.53 looking like the safest bet. Both teams show significant activity in the second half, further supporting a bet on the total.

Corner Totals Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds average 6.2 corners per match, FC Tokyo - 5.4. Over 5 matches, Urawa's total over 9.5 corners occurred twice, while FC Tokyo's never did. Among corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.6) is 11.5, with odds of over 11.5 corners at 2.97 and under 11.5 at 1.30. Another close line is 10.5: over 10.5 - 2.22, under 10.5 - 1.54. FC Tokyo is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.81. Both teams are capable of creating chances and earning corners, but FC Tokyo hasn't surpassed the 9.5 total in their last five matches, while Urawa has done so twice. Considering this, a total closer to 10-11 corners seems logical, with under 11.5 being the most reliable bet based on frequency.