Prediction for match UTA Arad — Petrolul Ploiesti, 08.12.2025

Who is the favorite in the UTA Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti match?

Liga I continues to offer intriguing matchups, and on December 8, UTA Arad will face Petrolul Ploiesti. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for UTA Arad is priced at 2.31, a draw at 3.04, and a win for Petrolul Ploiesti at 3.22. The probabilities are distributed as follows: UTA Arad - 40.37%, draw - 30.67%, Petrolul Ploiesti - 28.96%. Based on these figures, UTA Arad appears to have the edge, but the gap is not significant, promising a tough battle on the field.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, UTA Arad has an average possession of 46.4%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Petrolul Ploiesti maintains possession at 44.2%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. In their last three matches, UTA Arad played as follows: 30.11.2025 Hermannstadt - UTA Arad 1-2, 22.11.2025 UTA Arad - Universitatea Cluj 0-2, 09.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad 1-2. Petrolul Ploiesti's recent matches were: 01.12.2025 Petrolul Ploiesti - Metaloglobus 4-1, 22.11.2025 FCSB - Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1, 08.11.2025 Petrolul Ploiesti - Oțelul 0-0. In their head-to-head match on 30.10.2025, they drew 1-1.

How many goals to expect?

In terms of average scoring over the last five games, UTA Arad has 2.8 goals per match, while Petrolul Ploiesti has 1.8. Both teams score 1.2 goals per game, but UTA Arad concedes more - 1.6, compared to Petrolul Ploiesti's 0.6. Over the five-match period, UTA Arad exceeded 2.5 total goals three times, while Petrolul Ploiesti did so only once. UTA Arad recorded more than 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half four times, while Petrolul Ploiesti did so once in each half. UTA Arad most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Petrolul Ploiesti scores most often between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). Both teams concede goals most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Considering these statistics, under 2.5 goals seems a logical choice: Petrolul Ploiesti has a strong defensive profile, and UTA Arad's scoring is inconsistent. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.56.

Analysis of corner totals

On average, UTA Arad earns 3.8 corners per match, while Petrolul Ploiesti earns 6.8, totaling 10.6. Over the last five matches, UTA Arad exceeded 9.5 corners three times, and Petrolul Ploiesti did so four times out of five. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.98, while under 9.5 is at 1.73. UTA Arad is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.98. Given the high average numbers, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering the frequency for both teams.