Prediction for match Utrecht — Ajax, 09.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Eredivisie on November 9, Utrecht will face Ajax. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Utrecht is priced at 2.70, a draw at 3.70, and a win for Ajax at 2.45. In terms of probability percentages: Utrecht 35.31%, draw 25.77%, Ajax 38.92%. Thus, bookmakers slightly favor the visitors, but the gap between the teams is minimal. Interestingly, neither team has shown consistent dominance in recent games, leading to evenly distributed bets.

Team Streaks

Over the last five matches, Utrecht has averaged 44% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Ajax's stats are as follows: 47.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In Utrecht's last three matches: 06.11.2025 - Utrecht vs Porto 1-1, 02.11.2025 - Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen 1-0, 26.10.2025 - AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht 4-1. Ajax's last three matches: 05.11.2025 - Ajax vs Galatasaray 0-3, 01.11.2025 - Ajax vs Heerenveen 1-1, 26.10.2025 - Twente vs Ajax 2-3. In their head-to-head on 20.04.2025, Utrecht defeated Ajax 4-0 - the over 2.5 goals bet was comfortably met. These stats highlight that both teams are capable of both scoring and conceding goals, and their encounters are often high-scoring.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Utrecht has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, while Ajax has seen it in 3 out of 5. In the first halves, over 1.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for both teams, and in the second halves, Utrecht had 3 out of 5, Ajax 2 out of 5. On average: Utrecht scores 2.8 goals per match (scoring 1.2, conceding 1.6), Ajax 3.6 (scoring 1.0, conceding 2.6). Utrecht most often scores between 46-60 minutes (33%), while Ajax scores between 31-45 minutes (38%). In terms of goals conceded: Utrecht is most vulnerable between 61-75 minutes (50%), Ajax between 46-60 (40%). Given the high average scoring, frequent over 2.5 goals for both sides, and regular goals in both halves, betting on both teams to score: yes seems justified. The odds for this outcome are 1.53.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Utrecht averages 3.8 per match, while Ajax averages 2.8. In the last 5 games, each team has only exceeded the over 9.5 corners total once. The odds for this outcome are 1.98, and for under 9.5 - 1.82. There is no clear favorite in corner outcomes: both Utrecht and Ajax have odds of 2.05. Corner data suggests a low likelihood of a large number of corners: only 2 occurrences over 10 matches, with both teams' averages not exceeding 4. Therefore, considering under 9.5 corners seems a more reasonable option for this matchup.