Prediction for match Utrecht — AZ Alkmaar

Match Analysis: Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar

On March 1st, in the Eredivisie, Utrecht will face AZ Alkmaar. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.22 for Utrecht's victory, 3.22 for AZ Alkmaar's success, and a draw is priced at 3.55. In terms of probability: Utrecht is given a 43.20% chance, a draw is at 27.02%, and AZ Alkmaar is at 29.78%. The most likely outcome is a victory for Utrecht, but the odds are relatively close, reflecting the balanced chances between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Utrecht has found form in their last five matches: drawing with Zwolle 1-1 (22.02.2026), beating Groningen 2-1 (14.02.2026), securing a convincing win against NEC Nijmegen 3-1 (11.02.2026), a narrow loss to Feyenoord 0-1 (08.02.2026), and drawing with Heerenveen 1-1 (01.02.2026). AZ Alkmaar, in their last five encounters, defeated Noah 4-0 (26.02.2026), overcame Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 (22.02.2026), lost to Noah 0-1 (19.02.2026), won against Excelsior 2-1 (14.02.2026), and drew with Ajax 1-1 (08.02.2026). On average over 5 games: Utrecht has 43.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and has 1.2 offsides per match. AZ Alkmaar averages 54% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 26.10.2025, AZ Alkmaar won 4-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Match

Both teams have shown good scoring ability: Utrecht's average total goals over 5 matches is 2.4, while AZ Alkmaar's is 2.8. Utrecht scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 1, while AZ Alkmaar scores 2 and concedes 0.8. In their last 5 games, Utrecht has gone over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while AZ Alkmaar has gone over 2.5 goals three times. Neither team has a strong over-profile in the first half: only once in five matches did they go over 1.5. The second half is more interesting: Utrecht went over 1.5 twice, and AZ Alkmaar did so in 4 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals: Utrecht most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (50%), and AZ Alkmaar in the same 46-60 (30%) and 76-90 (30%). In terms of goals conceded: Utrecht is most vulnerable at the end (76-90, 38%), while AZ Alkmaar concedes all goals in the 76-90 interval (100%). Overall, both teams are capable of scoring regularly, especially in the second half, and have decent attacking stats. In such conditions, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.56 seems logical, considering both teams' average goals exceed 1.2, and AZ Alkmaar consistently scores and concedes in recent matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of corners, Utrecht averages 4.4 in their last 5 matches, and AZ Alkmaar averages 4.2. The frequency of going over 9.5 corners for Utrecht is 3 out of 5, and for AZ Alkmaar, it's 1 out of 5. Among the totals with paired outcomes closest to the average sum (8.6) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 is given 1.44, and under is also 1.44. Utrecht is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.73. Overall, both teams are capable of earning 4-5 corners per match, and a bet on over 8.5 corners is worth considering, given Utrecht's frequency and the proximity of the average sum to the chosen line.