Prediction for match V-varen Nagasaki — Shimizu S-pulse

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki will face Shimizu S-Pulse on April 5, 2026, in the J1 League. The 1X2 odds are set at 2.64 for V-Varen Nagasaki, 2.49 for Shimizu S-Pulse, and 3.42 for a draw. In terms of probability, V-Varen Nagasaki has a 35.31% chance, a draw is at 27.26%, and Shimizu S-Pulse stands at 37.44%. There is no clear favorite, but Shimizu S-Pulse has a slight edge. The odds on totals and both teams to score are also noteworthy, indicating attention to the attacking potential of both teams.

Team Form and Statistics

In their last five matches, V-Varen Nagasaki has an average possession of 46.6%, receives 0.4 yellow cards, commits 6.8 fouls, and gets caught offside once per game. Shimizu S-Pulse maintains possession 49.8% of the time, receives 1 yellow card, commits 9.2 fouls, and is caught offside 3 times per match. Recent results for V-Varen Nagasaki: March 21, 2026 - Fagiano Okayama 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki, March 18, 2026 - V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 Kyoto Sanga, March 15, 2026 - V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka. Shimizu S-Pulse's recent matches: April 1, 2026 - Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse, March 22, 2026 - Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, March 18, 2026 - Avispa Fukuoka 5-6 Shimizu S-Pulse. Their last head-to-head was on September 7, 2024: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki.

Expected Goals

V-Varen Nagasaki averages a total of 2.2 goals over five matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1 per game. Shimizu S-Pulse averages 2 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 1. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for V-Varen Nagasaki and in 1 out of 5 for Shimizu S-Pulse. In the first half, V-Varen Nagasaki had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Shimizu S-Pulse had 1 out of 5. In the second half, V-Varen Nagasaki had 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, whereas Shimizu S-Pulse had 3 out of 5. V-Varen Nagasaki most frequently scores in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Shimizu S-Pulse scores most in the 16-30 minute interval (43%). V-Varen Nagasaki concedes most often in the 16-30 minute interval (40%), and Shimizu S-Pulse in the 76-90 minute interval (67%). Given the moderate average totals and the low scoring nature of both teams, along with frequent under 2.5 totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.91 seems logical.

Corners: Stats and Betting Options

V-Varen Nagasaki and Shimizu S-Pulse both average 4.6 corners per game over five matches. For over 9.5 corners: V-Varen Nagasaki had 4 out of 5 matches go over, while Shimizu S-Pulse had 2 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.83, and under 9.5 corners are 1.85. Shimizu S-Pulse is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.94. Both teams are capable of earning 4-5 corners, and the higher frequency of over 9.5 corners for V-Varen Nagasaki makes the over an interesting option to consider.