Prediction for match Valencia — Alaves

Match Analysis: Valencia vs Alaves

In the upcoming La Liga fixture on March 8th, Valencia will face Alaves. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Valencia win at 2.15, a draw at 3.21, and an Alaves victory at 4.16. This translates to a 45.73% chance of a Valencia win, a 30.63% probability of a draw, and a 23.64% likelihood of an Alaves win. Thus, Valencia is favored by the odds, but a draw is also considered a fairly likely outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Valencia recorded the following: March 1 - Valencia vs Osasuna 1-0, February 22 - Villarreal vs Valencia 2-1, February 15 - Levante vs Valencia 0-2. Alaves' recent results are: February 27 - Levante vs Alaves 2-0, February 23 - Alaves vs Girona 2-2, February 14 - Sevilla vs Alaves 1-1. Over the last five games, Valencia averaged 50% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Alaves had 55.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 16.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Their last head-to-head on October 20, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Valencia vs Alaves Match

Valencia's five-match average total goals is 2.2, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. Alaves has a higher average total goals of 3, scoring 1 and conceding 2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, and under 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5. The odds for over 1.5 goals are 1.47, and for over 2.0 goals - 1.77. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice in 5 matches for both teams, while in the second half, it was 3 out of 5 for Valencia and 4 out of 5 for Alaves. Valencia most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (75%), while Alaves tends to score late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%). Valencia concedes most often between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes (38% each), while Alaves concedes from the 46th to the 90th minute (25% for each of the three intervals). Considering both teams are not particularly high-scoring and over 2.5 goals are not predominant, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.63 seems a logical choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last five matches, Valencia averaged 4 corners, and Alaves 5. For over 9.5 corners, Valencia had 1 in 5, and Alaves 2 in 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.83, and for under 9.5 - 1.87. Valencia is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.60. Given the average total corners for both teams (9), a bet on corners closer to 9.5 seems reasonable, but since it hasn't occurred frequently, a cautious approach to this market is justified.