Prediction for match Valencia — Athletic Club

Match Analysis: Valencia vs Athletic Club

Valencia and Athletic Club will face off in the Copa del Rey on February 4th. The odds for a Valencia win are 2.64, a draw is at 3.06, and an Athletic Club victory is at 3.07. According to the probabilities, Valencia is given a 36.73% chance, a draw 31.69%, and Athletic Club 31.58%. The 1X2 market is quite tight, and bookmakers do not highlight a clear favorite. A tough contest is expected, where both teams have a chance of success, and the likelihood of a draw is also quite high.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Valencia lost to Real Betis 1-2 on February 1st, defeated Espanyol 3-2 on January 24th, and won against Getafe 1-0 on January 18th. Athletic Club drew 1-1 with Real Sociedad on February 1st, lost 2-3 to Sporting Lisbon on January 28th, and were beaten by Sevilla 1-2 on January 24th. Valencia's average ball possession over five matches is 45.8%, while Athletic Club's is 43.8%. Valencia receives an average of 2 yellow cards per game, whereas Athletic Club averages 3.6. Fouls are recorded at 13.4 for Valencia and 14.8 for Athletic Club, with offsides at 1 compared to 0.8, respectively. In their last head-to-head on September 20, 2025, Valencia won 2-0 against Athletic Club.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Valencia has an average total goals of 2.6 in their last five matches, while Athletic Club's is 4. In terms of goals scored: Valencia averages 1.6, and Athletic Club 1.8. Over their last five matches, Valencia's games went over 2.5 goals twice, while Athletic Club's did so four times. By halves: Valencia had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of five, and in the second half twice. Athletic Club had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times, and twice in the second half. Valencia tends to score most frequently between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Athletic Club scores mostly between 31-45 minutes (27%). In terms of goals conceded: Valencia is most vulnerable at the start (0-15 minutes - 25%), at the start of the second half (46-60 - 25%), and at the end (76-90 - 25%). Athletic Club concedes most often between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (30% each). The cumulative goal statistics and totals suggest increased scoring potential, especially for Athletic Club. In this scenario, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.41 seems justified, considering both teams regularly score and concede, with average totals at a high level.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Valencia averages 3.8 corners per game, while Athletic Club averages 5.2. Over the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for Valencia and three times for Athletic Club. Among the available total corner bets, the line closest to the sum of the averages (9) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.18, while under is 1.61. Based on corner statistics, both teams are capable of creating chances near the opponent's goal, which could lead to a high number of corner kicks. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, especially given Athletic Club's attacking style and Valencia's activity in the latter stages of halves.