Prediction for match Valencia — Rayo Vallecano

Match Preview

Valencia and Rayo Vallecano will face off on 14.05.2026 in La Liga. The odds for a Valencia win are 2.30, a draw is priced at 3.46, and a Rayo Vallecano victory is at 3.44. Bookmakers estimate Valencia's chances of winning at 42.86%, a draw at 28.49%, and Rayo Vallecano's victory at 28.65%. These numbers suggest Valencia has a slight edge, but the percentages are close, indicating a potentially hard-fought contest. There is also a wide selection of over/under and both teams to score markets available, offering various options for predictions.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Valencia defeated Athletic Bilbao (1-0), lost to Atletico Madrid (0-2), and won against Girona (2-1). Rayo Vallecano drew with Girona (1-1), and beat Strasbourg (1-0) and Getafe (2-0). Looking at the averages over the last five games, Valencia has 43.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 3 offsides. Rayo Vallecano averages 53.2% possession, 3.8 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 01.12.2025, the teams drew 1-1. Overall, Rayo Vallecano appears more disciplined regarding offsides but receives more cautions.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams only had one game each with over 2.5 goals, while four matches ended with under 2.5 goals. Valencia's average goals per match is 1.8, while Rayo Vallecano's is 2.4. Valencia scores an average of 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1, while Rayo Vallecano scores 1.6 and concedes 0.8. In the first half, Valencia has not exceeded 1.5 goals in any of their last 5 games, while Rayo Vallecano did so once. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. Valencia most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (75%), while Rayo Vallecano scores most often from the 76th to the 90th minute (57%). Valencia concedes most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (67%), while Rayo Vallecano has three intervals with an equal likelihood of conceding goals - 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Considering Valencia's low scoring rate and the fact that both teams rarely play over 2.5 goals, a bet on under 2.5 at 1.97 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for Valencia over 5 matches is 4.4, and for Rayo Vallecano, it's 5.4. In their last five games, both teams exceeded 9.5 corners 3 times. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.70, and under 9.5 at 2.03. There is also a market for corners outcome, with odds of 1.90 for a Valencia win and 2.24 for Rayo Vallecano. Considering both teams often deliver 4-5 or more corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, but a bet on Rayo Vallecano to win on corners also deserves attention, given their average.