Prediction for match Real Valladolid — Leganes

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Spanish Segunda on 14.03.2026, Real Valladolid will face Leganes. The odds for a Real Valladolid win are 2.02, a draw is priced at 3.50, and a win for Leganes is at 3.84. Looking at the probabilities, Real Valladolid is given a 47.55% chance to win, a draw is at 27.44%, and Leganes has a 25.01% chance. Among the totals, the bet on over 2.0 goals with odds of 1.55 stands out as an interesting option, considering Real Valladolid's recent scoring performances. Options for totals and both teams to score are also available, but over 2.0 goals seems the most balanced choice for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Real Valladolid has averaged 46% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. In the same period, Leganes has maintained 57% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 10.4 fouls, and had 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Real Valladolid played as follows: 07.03.2026 Malaga 3-3 Real Valladolid, 28.02.2026 Real Valladolid 1-0 Huesca, 22.02.2026 Sporting Gijon 2-2 Real Valladolid. Leganes' last three results were: 08.03.2026 Leganes 0-1 Eibar, 02.03.2026 Sporting Gijon 0-0 Leganes, 21.02.2026 Leganes 1-1 Cultural Leonesa. Their last head-to-head meeting was on 11.01.2026, where Leganes won 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Real Valladolid has an average total of 4.2 goals per match in their last five games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.8 per game. Leganes has an average total of 1.4, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. Real Valladolid has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Leganes only in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Real Valladolid has seen over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Leganes hasn't seen this occur. In the second half, both teams have seen over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches. Goal intervals show Real Valladolid most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (45%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (50%). Leganes also scores most often in the first 15 minutes (50%) and concedes evenly across 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Given Real Valladolid's high scoring and both teams' not-so-reliable defenses, a bet on over 2.0 goals seems justified, especially as Real Valladolid has consistently played high-scoring matches recently, and Leganes is capable of contributing with at least one goal.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Real Valladolid averages 4.2 corners per game, while Leganes averages 4.8. For over 9.5 corners, Real Valladolid has achieved this in 1 out of 5 games, and Leganes in 2 out of 5. The line closest to their average total (9) is 9.5, with odds of 1.94 for over 9.5 corners and 1.75 for under 9.5. Real Valladolid is favored in corner bets with odds of 1.38. Considering the average corner activity of both teams, it's logical to consider a bet on total corners in the range of 9-10, as well as Real Valladolid's advantage in this aspect.