Prediction for match Vasco da Gama — Fluminense, 12.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

Vasco da Gama will face Fluminense on December 11 in the Copa Do Brasil. According to the odds, Fluminense is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.04, a draw at 3.28, and a win for Vasco da Gama at 3.68. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Fluminense's victory is estimated at 45.95%, a draw at 28.58%, and Vasco da Gama's win at 25.47%. This reflects Fluminense's advantage in both odds and probabilities, though the difference between a draw and a win for Vasco da Gama is not significant. A tough contest is expected, with each outcome highly rated.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vasco da Gama has an average possession of 49.8%, commits 13.2 fouls per game, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and records 1 offside per match. Fluminense holds 50.6% possession, 13.8 fouls, 1.8 yellows, and 0.8 offsides. Vasco da Gama's last three matches: December 7 Atletico Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 5-0, December 2 Vasco da Gama - Mirassol 0-2, November 28 Vasco da Gama - Internacional 5-1. Fluminense's: December 7 Fluminense - Bahia 2-0, December 3 Gremio - Fluminense 1-2, November 27 Fluminense - Sao Paulo 6-0. In their last head-to-head on October 20, Vasco da Gama defeated Fluminense 2-0.

Goals by Match Statistics

Vasco da Gama averages a total of 3.6 goals over their last 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4 per match. Fluminense averages 2.2 goals, scoring 2 and conceding only 0.2. For over 2.5 total goals: 3 out of 5 matches for Vasco da Gama ended with three or more goals, while for Fluminense it's 2 out of 5. In the first half, Vasco da Gama had 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Fluminense only 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals. Goal intervals: Vasco da Gama most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). Fluminense scores most often at the end (76-90, 33%), and concedes either at the beginning of the second half (46-60, 50%) or between the 16th and 30th minute (50%). Considering Vasco da Gama's regular high-scoring games and Fluminense's strong defense and high scoring rate, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.56 seems justified. In Vasco da Gama's last five matches, the total exceeded 2.0 in 4 cases, while for Fluminense, it was in 3 games.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Vasco da Gama averages 4.4 corners per match, Fluminense 3. For over 9.5 total corners: both teams had 2 out of 5 games with 10 or more corners. Among the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (7.4) is 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.36, under 7.5 at 2.75. For the outcome on corners, Vasco da Gama is the favorite with odds of 2.00. Considering the average corner stats, expecting a match with 7-9 corners seems logical, where a bet on over 7.5 corners looks like a cautious option. Also, betting on Vasco da Gama to win on corners could be considered, given their advantage in recent matches.