Prediction for match Vasco da Gama — Fluminense

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense

Vasco da Gama and Fluminense face off on March 19, 2026, in Brazil's Serie A. According to the odds, Fluminense is the favorite with odds of 2.47 for their victory, Vasco da Gama at 3.08, and a draw at 3.21. In terms of probability percentages, Fluminense has a 38.89% chance, Vasco da Gama 31.19%, and a draw 29.92%. This suggests that bookmakers slightly favor Fluminense, but other outcomes are not unlikely.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Vasco da Gama's results were: March 15, 2026, Cruzeiro 3-3 Vasco da Gama, March 12, 2026, Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras, March 1, 2026, Fluminense 1-1 Vasco da Gama. For the same period, Fluminense's results were: March 15, 2026, Fluminense 3-2 Atletico Paranaense, March 12, 2026, Remo 0-2 Fluminense, March 8, 2026, Fluminense 4-5 Flamengo. On average over the last five games, Vasco da Gama has 51.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside per match. Fluminense averages 62.4% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 16.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on March 1, 2026, Fluminense and Vasco da Gama drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Vasco da Gama has an average total of 3 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per game. Fluminense averages a total of 2.4, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Vasco da Gama has 3 out of 5 games over, Fluminense has 2 out of 5. For the first half, Vasco da Gama has 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Fluminense 3 out of 5. In the second half, Vasco da Gama has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Fluminense 2 out of 5. Vasco da Gama most often scores between 61-75 minutes (44%) and concedes most between 31-45 (50%). Fluminense is most prolific in the first 15 minutes (57%) and concedes most between 61-75 (43%). Considering the teams' average scoring, Vasco da Gama's over 2.5 trend, and consistent goal-scoring, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.07 is reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Vasco da Gama averages 5.4 corners per match, Fluminense 5.6. In the last 5 games, Vasco da Gama exceeded 9.5 corners once, Fluminense twice. Among the proposed corner totals, the line closest to the average (11) is 11.5: over 11.5 is at 3.07, under 11.5 at 1.32. Vasco da Gama is favored for corners with odds of 2.03. Given these numbers, expecting 9-11 corners is logical, and a bet on over 9.5 corners at 1.87 seems justified, considering both teams' attacking style and recent averages.