Prediction for match Vasco da Gama — Olimpia

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Vasco da Gama will face Olimpia on April 30, 2026, in the Sudamericana tournament. According to the 1X2 odds, Vasco da Gama is the favorite with odds of 1.75, a draw is priced at 3.54, and an Olimpia win is at 4.58. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: a Vasco da Gama win - 53.29%, a draw - 26.35%, and an Olimpia win - 20.36%. Among additional markets, the odds for over 2.0 goals are 1.50, and for over 2.5 goals - 2.02. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.90, no is at 1.80. Vasco da Gama's individual total over 1.5 is priced at 1.92, and Olimpia's over 0.5 is at 1.58.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vasco da Gama averages 56.2% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and records 0.6 offsides per game. Over the same period, Olimpia shows 59.4% possession, 2.6 yellows, 9.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Vasco da Gama's last three matches were: April 26, 2026 - Corinthians 1-0 Vasco da Gama, April 22, 2026 - Paysandu 0-2 Vasco da Gama, April 18, 2026 - Vasco da Gama 2-1 São Paulo. Olimpia's last three games were: April 25, 2026 - Libertad Asuncion 3-2 Olimpia, April 16, 2026 - Olimpia 0-0 Barracas Central, April 12, 2026 - Rubio Ñu 0-2 Olimpia. There have been no recent head-to-head encounters between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Vasco da Gama scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1 goal per match, while Olimpia scores 1.8 and concedes 0.6. The average total goals over 5 games for Vasco da Gama is 2.2, and for Olimpia, it's 2.4. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under in 3 out of 5. Vasco da Gama has not seen over 1.5 goals in the first half at all, but in the second half, they have 4 out of 5 times. Olimpia has over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, and in the second half 3 out of 5. Vasco da Gama scores most frequently between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), while Olimpia scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). Vasco da Gama concedes most frequently between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), and Olimpia between the 16th-30th, 46th-60th, and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). Overall, both teams have moderate scoring potential, and the timing statistics do not strongly favor either low or high-scoring games. In this context, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.50 seems justified, considering both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, with noticeable activity in the second halves.

Corner Betting

Vasco da Gama averages 6.2 corners per match, while Olimpia averages 4.8. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 out of 5 times for both teams. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the sum of the averages (6.2 + 4.8 = 11) is the total 11: over 11 is priced at 3.32, under 11 at 1.28. Another option is the total 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.78, under 10.5 at 1.34. For corner outcomes, Vasco da Gama is the favorite with odds of 1.62. Based on the average activity of both teams, it's reasonable to expect at least 9-10 corners in the game, and a bet on over 8.75 corners at 1.75 is appealing for those interested in set-piece statistics.