Prediction for match Vasco da Gama — Palmeiras

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras

On March 12, 2026, Vasco da Gama will face Palmeiras in the Brazilian Serie A. According to the 1X2 odds, Palmeiras is favored to win with odds of 2.30, giving them a 41.77% chance of success. Vasco da Gama has odds of 3.17 (30.31%), while a draw is at 3.44 (27.93%). For the goal totals, over 2.5 goals is set at 1.88, and under 2.5 goals is at 1.97. Both teams to score - yes is at 1.64, no is at 2.13. Individual team totals are set at over 1 for Vasco da Gama at 1.72, and over 1.5 for Palmeiras at 2.13. For the second half, the total over 1.5 is at 2.05. Historically, Palmeiras has had the upper hand in recent encounters between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vasco da Gama averaged 60.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Palmeiras averaged 55% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Vasco da Gama's last three matches were: March 1, 2026 - Fluminense 1-1 Vasco da Gama, February 26, 2026 - Santos 2-1 Vasco da Gama, February 22, 2026 - Vasco da Gama 0-1 Fluminense. Palmeiras' last three matches were: March 8, 2026 - Novorizontino 1-2 Palmeiras, March 4, 2026 - Palmeiras 1-0 Novorizontino, March 1, 2026 - Palmeiras 2-1 São Paulo. The last head-to-head match between these teams was on October 1, 2025 - Palmeiras 3-0 Vasco da Gama.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras

In their last five games, Vasco da Gama averaged 1.8 total goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. Palmeiras had a higher average total of 2.8 goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, Vasco da Gama had 1 out of 5 matches, while Palmeiras had 4 out of 5. In terms of halves, Vasco da Gama had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. Palmeiras had 4 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Goal intervals for Vasco da Gama show they most frequently score between 61-75 minutes (40%) and concede between 31-45 minutes (50%). For Palmeiras, they most frequently score between 0-15 minutes (40%) and concede between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (40% each). Given Palmeiras' high scoring rate and tendency to exceed 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five matches, Vasco da Gama averaged 7.2 corners, while Palmeiras averaged 2.4. For over 9.5 corners, Vasco da Gama had 2 out of 5 matches, and Palmeiras had 1 out of 5. The available totals for corners include over 9.5 at 1.72 and under 9.5 at 1.98. For corners, Palmeiras is favored with odds of 1.80. Considering Vasco da Gama consistently earns many corners and Palmeiras earns few, it makes sense to consider a bet on Vasco da Gama's individual corners over 4.5, if available, or a total over 9.5.