Prediction for match Velo Clube — Vila Nova

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Brazilian Cup on March 4, 2026, Velo Clube will face Vila Nova. According to the 1X2 odds, Vila Nova is the favorite: their win is offered at 2.29, a draw at 2.77, and a Velo Clube victory at 3.62. In terms of probabilities: Velo Clube has a 25.72% chance of winning, the draw is rated at 33.62%, and Vila Nova at 40.66%. This setup reflects Vila Nova's advantage in odds and percentages, although a draw is also considered quite likely.

Team Results and Statistics

Velo Clube's last three matches were as follows: 15.02.2026 - Santos vs. Velo Clube - 6-0, 08.02.2026 - Velo Clube vs. RB Bragantino - 1-1, 01.02.2026 - Noroeste vs. Velo Clube - 2-0. Vila Nova's last three results were: 19.11.2025 - Vila Nova vs. Volta Redonda - 2-2, 15.11.2025 - CRB vs. Vila Nova - 2-0, 08.11.2025 - Vila Nova vs. Avai - 2-2. On average over five matches: Velo Clube had 43% possession, committed 10.2 fouls, received 2.6 yellow cards, and was caught offside once per game. Vila Nova showed 47.2% possession, 16.2 fouls, 3 yellow cards, and 1 offside. These stats highlight Vila Nova's more aggressive style and higher disciplinary burden.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Velo Clube vs. Vila Nova Match

Over a five-match period, Velo Clube scored an average of 0.2 goals per game and conceded 2.2. Vila Nova scored 1.6 and conceded 2. In totals: only 1 out of 5 Velo Clube matches exceeded 2.5 goals, while 4 out of 5 Vila Nova matches did. The average number of goals per match for Velo Clube is 2.4, and for Vila Nova, it's 3.6. By halves: Velo Clube had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second, while Vila Nova had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in both halves. Velo Clube most often scores between the 76th-90th minutes (40%), and concedes 67% of goals in the same period. Vila Nova scores most frequently between the 31st-45th minutes (44%) and concedes evenly between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (25% each). Despite Velo Clube's low scoring, Vila Nova's high average goals and over-profile make a bet on over 1.5 goals at 1.50 logical for this match.

Betting on Corners

Velo Clube averaged 3.6 corners over the last five matches, while Vila Nova averaged 5.6. Regarding the frequency of exceeding a total of 9.5 corners: Velo Clube had only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Vila Nova had 4 out of 5 over 9.5. Looking at the odds, the total corners over 9.5 is at 2.08, and under 9.5 is at 1.68. Velo Clube has a less pronounced corner profile, whereas Vila Nova consistently achieves a high corner count. Based on this data, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical, especially given Vila Nova's attacking activity and frequent success in exceeding this total.