Prediction for match Venezia — Padova

Match Analysis: Venezia vs Padova

Venezia and Padova will face off on 03/17/2026 in Serie B. The odds clearly favor Venezia: a win for them is priced at 1.27, a draw at 5.40, and a victory for Padova at 10.50. According to the bookmakers' probability estimates, the chances are: Venezia - 73.74%, draw - 17.34%, Padova - 8.92%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are set at 1.62, and for both teams to score: yes - 2.03. The betting line also offers options on individual team totals and half-time totals, allowing for bets tailored to the teams' playing styles.

Team Results and Statistics

Venezia has shown consistent form in their last five matches: a 0-0 draw with Sampdoria (03/14/2026), a 2-0 victory over Reggiana (03/07/2026), a commanding 4-0 win against Avellino (03/03/2026), a 1-1 draw with Südtirol (02/28/2026), and a 3-2 win over Pescara (02/21/2026). Padova has had mixed results in the same period: a 1-3 loss to Catanzaro (03/14/2026), a narrow 0-1 defeat to Avellino (03/07/2026), a 2-2 draw with Spezia (03/03/2026), a 2-1 victory over Modena (02/28/2026), and a 1-1 draw with Bari (02/21/2026). In their last five games, Venezia has averaged 67.8% possession, 16 fouls, 1 yellow card, and 1.6 offsides per game. Padova's averages are: 47.6% possession, 16.2 fouls, 2 yellow cards, and 0.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 11/22/2025, Padova lost 0-2 to Venezia.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams tend to play matches with two or more goals. Venezia's average over the last five games is 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, with a total match goals average of 2.6. Padova's averages are 1.2 goals scored, 1.6 conceded, and a total of 2.8 goals per match. Venezia played over 2.5 goals in two out of five recent games, and under in three. Padova had over 2.5 goals in three out of five matches. In first halves, Venezia scored over 1.5 goals twice, and Padova three times. Both teams had over 1.5 goals in the second half twice. Venezia often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), while Padova scores in the late stages, from the 76th to 90th minute (50%). Venezia is vulnerable early in the second half (46-60 minutes - 67%), while Padova concedes most frequently in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Given that both teams are regularly involved in high-scoring matches and Padova's defensive frailties, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.62 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Venezia averages 5 corners per game, while Padova averages 4.8. In their last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners in three out of five games. For corner totals, the 9.5 line is highlighted: over is priced at 1.83, under at 1.85. Venezia is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.19. Considering both teams' average corner activity and the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 total, betting on over 9.5 corners appears logical for this match. Additionally, both teams can create chances and earn corners in both balanced and attacking games.