Prediction for match Verona — Napoli

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Serie A match between Verona and Napoli will take place on 28.02.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Napoli's victory is priced at 1.56, a draw is at 4.19, and Verona's win is at 7.26. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 63.00% for a Napoli win, 23.46% for a draw, and 13.54% for a Verona win. This setup clearly favors Napoli, as reflected by both the odds and percentages. Napoli is the favorite in this match, while Verona is considered the underdog by all key pre-match indicators.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Verona suffered defeats against Sassuolo (0-3, 20.02.2026) and Parma (1-2, 15.02.2026), and drew with Pisa (0-0, 06.02.2026). Napoli, in their last three encounters, lost to Atalanta (1-2, 22.02.2026), drew with Roma (2-2, 15.02.2026), and lost to Como (7-8, 10.02.2026). In their head-to-head on 07.01.2026, the teams played to a 2-2 draw. Over the last five games, Verona has averaged 45.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Napoli has averaged 53.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1 offside. These statistics highlight the differences in style and activity between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Verona has an average total of 2.8 goals per match, scoring an average of 0.4 and conceding 2.4. Napoli's average total is 3.4, with 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded. Both teams have seen 4 out of 5 matches end with three or more goals. In the first half, Verona had 4 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Napoli had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Verona had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Napoli had 4 out of 5. Goal intervals show Verona most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (45%) and concedes evenly across four intervals at 25% each. Napoli most often scores between 46-60 minutes (33%) and concedes between 16-30 minutes (38%). Given Napoli's high scoring rate and both teams regularly exceeding the 2.5 total goals mark, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.35 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Verona averages 4 corners per match over five games, while Napoli averages 3.2. For the over 9.5 corners total, Verona had 4 out of 5 games over, while Napoli had only 1 out of 5. For the 8.5 total, odds are available: over 8.5 is at 1.79, under 8.5 is at 1.96. Napoli is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.41. In this matchup, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners, given Verona's frequency and overall activity in taking corners.