Prediction for match Stuttgart — Hamburger

Stuttgart vs Hamburger Match Analysis

In the Bundesliga on April 12, Stuttgart will face Hamburger. The odds for a Stuttgart victory are 1.45, a draw is at 5.28, and a win for Hamburger is valued at 7.22. In terms of outcome probabilities, Stuttgart has a 67.78% chance, a draw is at 18.61%, and Hamburger at 13.61%. Despite the clear tilt in favor of Stuttgart in both odds and probabilities, for the main prediction, it's worth looking at both teams' scoring metrics and the goal totals line, where there are interesting options with odds above 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Stuttgart has an average possession of 61.8%, with an average of 2.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Hamburger's possession is 43.2%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Stuttgart's last three matches were: 04.04.2026 - Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund - 0-2, 22.03.2026 - Augsburg vs Stuttgart - 2-5, 19.03.2026 - Porto vs Stuttgart - 2-0. Hamburger's last three games: 04.04.2026 - Hamburger vs Augsburg - 1-1, 21.03.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger - 3-2, 14.03.2026 - Hamburger vs Köln - 1-1. Their last head-to-head meeting was on 30.11.2025: Hamburger vs Stuttgart - 2-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Stuttgart vs Hamburger Match

On average, Stuttgart scores 3 goals per match in their last five games, while Hamburger scores 2.6. Stuttgart scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6, whereas Hamburger scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4. Both teams have a balance of 2 out of 5 matches going over 2.5 goals. In the first half, Stuttgart has 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, and Hamburger has 3 out of 5. In the second half, Stuttgart has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and Hamburger 1 out of 5. Goal intervals show Stuttgart most frequently scores between the 46th and 75th minutes (33% in each of these intervals), while Hamburger tends to score at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 29%) and in the last 15 minutes (76-90 - 29%). In terms of goals conceded, Stuttgart is most vulnerable between the 16th and 30th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each), while Hamburger is most vulnerable between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Considering both teams' average scoring, the balance of over 2.5 goals, and the distribution of goals by half, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.52 looks optimal. This option is supported by the average goal statistics and aligns with recent match trends.

Corner Totals Analysis

Stuttgart averages 5.4 corners in their last five matches, while Hamburger averages 3.6. Both teams have a 2 out of 5 balance for going over 9.5 corners. For the corner total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 1.60, under 9.5 at 2.19. Stuttgart is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.15. Given the average total corners of both teams (9), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, although the balance of outcomes does not provide a clear advantage. Individual stats can also be considered: Stuttgart's average is higher, which is also reflected in the odds for their corner count victory.