Prediction for match Stuttgart — VfL Wolfsburg

Match Analysis: Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg

In the Bundesliga on March 1, Stuttgart will face VfL Wolfsburg. The odds highlight a clear favorite: Stuttgart's win is priced at 1.54, a draw is at 4.97, and Wolfsburg's success is at 5.99. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 63.82% for a Stuttgart win, 19.77% for a draw, and 16.41% for a Wolfsburg win. This reflects Stuttgart's advantage in current form and recent results, supported by goal statistics and attacking actions. Additionally, both teams to score is at 1.51, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Stuttgart shows a high ball possession percentage at 61%, averaging 8 fouls, 1.8 yellow cards, and 2.4 offsides per game. Wolfsburg falls behind in these metrics: possession at 42.4%, 11.4 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Stuttgart lost to Celtic 0-1, drew with Heidenheim 3-3, and beat Celtic 4-1. Wolfsburg, in the same period, lost to Augsburg 2-3, drew with RB Leipzig 2-2, and lost to Borussia Dortmund 1-2. The last head-to-head meeting between these teams was on October 18, 2025, ending in a 3-0 victory for Stuttgart at Wolfsburg's home ground.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Based on the last five matches, both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games: Stuttgart has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, and Wolfsburg similarly in 4 out of 5. Stuttgart's matches average 3.8 goals, while Wolfsburg's average 3.4. Stuttgart scores 2.2 goals per game, Wolfsburg 1.2. Stuttgart concedes 1.6, Wolfsburg 2.2. In the first half, Stuttgart had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Wolfsburg in 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches. Stuttgart most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), while Wolfsburg scores between 61-75 minutes (40%). Both teams concede most often in the final minutes: Stuttgart at 40% between 76-90, Wolfsburg at 50% in the same interval. All these factors suggest a high probability of a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to score, and the second half could be particularly eventful. In this scenario, betting on both teams to score at 1.51 seems logical, considering the consistent over totals and regular goals from both sides.

Betting on Corners

On average, Stuttgart earns 5.2 corners per game, while Wolfsburg earns 3. In the last five matches, Stuttgart had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 games, Wolfsburg in 3 out of 5. Among the available totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.2) is 8.5: the odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.35, and for under 8.5, it's 2.93. Stuttgart is favored in the corners market, with odds of 1.21 for their win in this component. Considering the difference in flank activity and the frequency of over totals, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, Stuttgart's individual corner stats could be worth considering, given their average of over 5 per game.