Prediction for match VfL Wolfsburg — St. Pauli

Match Odds and Probability Percentages

In the German Bundesliga, VfL Wolfsburg will face St. Pauli on January 14, 2026. The odds for a Wolfsburg win are set at 1.90, a draw is at 3.86, and a victory for St. Pauli is at 4.36. According to the probability distribution, Wolfsburg has a 51.87% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.53%, and St. Pauli has a 22.60% chance. This makes Wolfsburg the favorite, but a draw is also a possibility according to the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Wolfsburg played as follows: on January 11, they lost to Bayern Munich 1-8, on December 20, they lost to Freiburg 3-4, and on December 13, they defeated Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1. In the same period, St. Pauli's results were: on December 21, they drew with Mainz 0-0, on December 13, they beat Heidenheim 2-1, and on December 6, they drew 1-1 with Cologne. Wolfsburg's averages over five matches: possession 43.8%, yellow cards 2.2, fouls 10.4, offsides 1.8. St. Pauli's averages: possession 39.4%, yellow cards 1.4, fouls 7.2, offsides 1.4. In their last head-to-head on March 8, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Wolfsburg shows high scoring potential: in a series of five matches, their average total is 5.2 goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 3. St. Pauli is more restrained: averaging 2.4 goals per game, scoring and conceding 1.2 each. For over 2.5 goals: Wolfsburg has 4 out of 5 matches over, St. Pauli has 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, Wolfsburg has over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, St. Pauli only 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams regularly score: both have 4 out of 5 over 1.5. Wolfsburg most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (25%) and concedes early (0-15 minutes - 27%) and between 61-75 minutes (27%). St. Pauli most often scores between 46-60 minutes (43%) and concedes late (76-90 minutes - 40%). Considering Wolfsburg's high scoring, frequent over 2.5 goals for both teams, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 is logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average corners per match, Wolfsburg gets 1.6, St. Pauli - 3. Over a five-match span, Wolfsburg had 2 out of 5 games over 9.5 total corners, St. Pauli 3 out of 5. For the nearest total to the average, the line on total corners 8.5 gives: over 8.5 - 1.49, under 8.5 - 2.44. Wolfsburg is the favorite on corners with odds at 1.93. Overall, considering the moderate average corner numbers, a bet on a moderate total corners seems justified, with the edge on corners going to Wolfsburg.