Prediction for match VfL Wolfsburg — Holstein Kiel, 28.10.2025

Who is the favorite in the match VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel?

In the DFB Pokal, VfL Wolfsburg will face Holstein Kiel on October 28, 2025. The odds for the match are as follows: a win for Wolfsburg is at 1.53, a draw is at 4.33, and a victory for Holstein Kiel is at 5.50. The probabilities for the 1X2 outcomes are: Wolfsburg - 61.29%, draw - 21.66%, Holstein Kiel - 17.05%. Based on these figures, Wolfsburg is considered the favorite.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Wolfsburg has averaged 0.4 goals scored per game, conceded 1.6, with a total average of 2 goals per match. They have averaged 3.6 corners per game and 45.6% ball possession. In this five-match series, they suffered defeats against Stuttgart (0-3) and RB Leipzig (0-1), with their only win against Hamburg (1-0, 25.10.2025). In the same period, Holstein Kiel scored 1.2 goals and conceded 0.8, with the same average total of 2 goals. They drew with Bochum (1-1, 25.10.2025) and Nuremberg (1-1, 19.10.2025), with their most significant victory being a 3-0 win over Karlsruhe (21.09.2025). In their last four head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won three times (2-0, 0-1, 2-0), and there was one draw (2-2, 24.01.2025).

How many goals to expect?

In the last five matches, Wolfsburg exceeded the 2.5 goals total twice and remained under three times, while Holstein Kiel went over 2.5 goals only once and under four times. The average goals scored are: Wolfsburg - 0.4, Holstein Kiel - 1.2. Both teams usually remain under 1.5 goals per half (Wolfsburg: once over in the first half, twice in the second; Kiel: once in the first, twice in the second). For goal intervals: Wolfsburg's most frequent scoring periods are evenly distributed between 0-75 minutes (20% each), while Kiel scores most often between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Wolfsburg concedes most frequently at the start (0-15 minutes - 29%) and at the end (76-90 minutes - 29%), while Kiel concedes most between the 46th and 60th minute (67%).

Corners in the match

Regarding corners, Holstein Kiel has averaged 5.8 per game in their last five matches, while Wolfsburg has averaged 3.6. In this five-game series, Wolfsburg has always exceeded the 9.5 total corners (5 out of 5), while Kiel did so 3 times out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 10.5 is at 1.90, under 10.5 is also at 1.90. Wolfsburg is considered the favorite for corners with odds of 1.40.