Prediction for match Vila Nova — Avai, 09.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Vila Nova vs Avai match in Brazil's Serie B will take place on November 8, 2025. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Vila Nova to win at 2.25, a draw at 3.00, and Avai to win at 3.50. The probability percentages calculated from these odds are: Vila Nova win 41.79%, draw 31.34%, Avai win 26.87%. Vila Nova is closer to being the favorite, but the gap between the teams is not significant, suggesting a fairly even contest. Interestingly, the double chance X2 is priced at 1.62, indicating some caution in assessing the visitors' chances of not losing.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent match statistics, Vila Nova had an average possession of 49.8% over their last five matches, with 3.6 yellow cards, 18.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Avai, over the same period, showed 47.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Vila Nova's recent matches: 02.11.2025 Operario - Vila Nova 2-2, 26.10.2025 Vila Nova - Ferroviaria 2-2, 18.10.2025 Atletico Goianiense - Vila Nova 1-0. Avai's last three matches: 01.11.2025 Avai - Athletic 2-1, 25.10.2025 Paysandu - Avai 1-2, 19.10.2025 Avai - Criciuma 1-1. Their last head-to-head on July 19, 2025, ended 1-1, aligning with an under 2.5 goals outcome.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Vila Nova played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Avai had three out of five games with three or more goals, and two with fewer. In the same period, Vila Nova only once had over 1.5 goals in the first half, similar to Avai. In the second half, Vila Nova went over 1.5 goals once, while Avai did so three times out of five. Average figures over the five-match span: Vila Nova - 2.4 goals per game (1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded), Avai - 2.6 (1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded). Vila Nova most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (43%), while Avai scores most often between 46-60 minutes (38%). In terms of goals conceded, Vila Nova's most vulnerable period is 31-45 minutes (40%), and Avai's is 16-30 minutes (60%). Overall, both teams show moderate scoring tendencies with a lean towards over 1.5 total goals, supported by average goal activity and time distribution. A bet on over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.50 seems optimal.

Corners in the Match

In the last five matches, Vila Nova averaged 3.6 corners, while Avai averaged 4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Vila Nova only surpassed this mark once in five matches, whereas Avai did so twice. For this match, the line for total corners over 9.5 is at 1.67, under 9.5 at 2.10. It's also worth noting that Vila Nova is favored for corners with odds of 1.67. Considering the teams' average activity and the not particularly high frequency of hitting the over total, a cautious choice would be a bet on over 9.5 corners, although there isn't much statistical backing.