Prediction for match Villarreal — Ajax, 20.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Villarreal will face Ajax in the Champions League on January 20. The odds for a Villarreal victory are 1.60, a draw at 4.72, and an Ajax win at 5.53. In terms of probability, Villarreal is rated at 61.41%, a draw at 20.82%, and Ajax's chances at 17.77%. This setup reflects Villarreal's advantage, but Ajax can surprise given their attacking profile in recent matches. The odds for "Both Teams to Score: Yes" are 1.50, confirming expectations for a high-scoring game with goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Villarreal recorded the following results: lost to Real Betis 0-2 on January 17, beat Alaves 3-1 on January 10, won against Elche 3-1 on January 3, lost to Barcelona 0-2 on December 21, and lost to Racing Santander 1-2 on December 17. During the same period, Ajax played as follows: drew with Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 on January 17, suffered a heavy defeat to AZ Alkmaar 0-6 on January 14, beat Telstar 3-2 on January 11, drew with NEC Nijmegen 2-2 on December 20, and thrashed Excelsior Maassluis 7-2 on December 17. In additional statistics, Villarreal's average possession over five games is 38.8%, yellow cards - 2, fouls - 11, offsides - 3.2. Ajax's possession is 61.2%, yellow cards - 1.6, fouls - 7.8, offsides - 0.6. No previous head-to-head encounters between these teams are recorded in the provided data.

Goal Scoring Patterns

Villarreal has an average of 3 goals per match over the last five games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6. Ajax's figures are even higher: an average total of 5.6 goals, scoring 2.8 and conceding 2.8. Villarreal has exceeded the 2.5 goal mark in 3 out of 5 games, while Ajax has done so in all 5. Villarreal saw the first half exceed 1.5 goals twice, and the second half twice as well, while Ajax exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half in all 5 games and in the second half in 4 out of 5. Villarreal most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%) and concedes early (0-15 minutes - 43%) and late (76-90 minutes - 43%). Ajax scores most often between the 46th and 60th and 76th and 90th minutes (29% each) and concedes evenly across four intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75 minutes (21% each). Both teams exhibit a high-scoring style, as confirmed by their average totals and frequency of exceeding 2.5 goals. Given this data, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.50 seems the most logical, as both teams regularly score and concede, with Ajax's attacking potential particularly prominent.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In their last five matches, Villarreal averages 4.4 corners, Ajax 3.6. Villarreal has exceeded the 9.5 corner total in 2 out of 5 games, Ajax in 1 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the combined average for both teams is 8. For a 9.5 corner total, both options exist: over 9.5 - odds not specified, under 9.5 - odds not specified. Based on this data, a moderate number of corners can be expected, and a bet on a total corners closer to 9-10 seems justified. A win on corners is not clearly highlighted, as neither team has a significant edge in average deliveries. Overall, the game promises to be high-scoring not only in terms of goals but also in activity in the opponent's penalty area.