Prediction for match Villarreal — Manchester City, 21.10.2025

Who is the favorite in the Villarreal vs Manchester City match?

Villarreal and Manchester City will face off on October 21, 2025, in the UEFA Champions League. Manchester City is considered the most likely winner, with odds set at 1.70, reflecting a 55.02% probability. A draw is priced at 4.00 (23.38%), while a Villarreal victory is at 4.33, equating to a 21.60% chance. The odds and percentages clearly position Manchester City as the strong favorite to win this match.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Villarreal averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, with a total average of 3.2 goals per match. Manchester City appears stronger in these parameters, with 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, averaging 3.0 goals per game. There's a noticeable difference in corners, with Villarreal averaging 3.6 compared to Manchester City's 6.2, and ball possession: 38.2% against 71.2%. Recent Villarreal matches include a 2-2 draw against Juventus on 01.10.2025 and another 2-2 draw with Real Betis on 18.10.2025. Manchester City recently defeated Everton 2-0 (18.10.2025) and Brentford 1-0 (05.10.2025). In their head-to-head history, there have been two matches: on November 2, 2011, Villarreal lost to Manchester City 0-3, and on October 18 of the same year, the English club won 2-1.

How many goals to expect?

In the last 5 matches, Villarreal went over 2.5 goals four times, while Manchester City did so twice. Villarreal's average goal total is 3.2, and Manchester City's is 3.0, indicating that both teams are close to hitting over totals. Villarreal most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Manchester City scores in two periods: 61-75 and 76-90 (33% each). Villarreal is vulnerable to conceding in the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while Manchester City is most likely to concede in the first 15 minutes and between 31-45 (33%). Villarreal never had a first-half total over 1.5 in their last 5 matches, while Manchester City did so twice; in the second half, Villarreal went over 1.5 four times, and Manchester City twice.

Corners in the match

In their last 5 matches, Villarreal averaged 3.6 corners, and Manchester City 6.2. For a total corners over 9.5: Villarreal achieved this twice out of five, and Manchester City three times. The main line for total corners is over 9.5 at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.80. Manchester City is the favorite in corner betting with odds of 1.40.