Prediction for match Villarreal — Real Sociedad

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On March 20, a La Liga match will take place between Villarreal and Real Sociedad. The odds for Villarreal to win are 2.05, for a draw - 3.80, and for Real Sociedad's victory - 3.78. In terms of probabilities, Villarreal is given a 48.04% chance, Real Sociedad - 26.05%, and a draw - 25.91%. Based on these figures, Villarreal has the highest chances of winning, but the gap with Real Sociedad is not overwhelming. The goal total options are also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.84, while under 2.5 is at 2.11. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.65, no - 2.13.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Villarreal played as follows: 13.03.2026 - Alaves - Villarreal - 1-1, 08.03.2026 - Villarreal - Elche - 2-1, 28.02.2026 - Barcelona - Villarreal - 4-1. Real Sociedad's last three games went like this: 15.03.2026 - Real Sociedad - Osasuna - 3-1, 07.03.2026 - Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad - 3-2, 04.03.2026 - Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao - 1-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on 30.11.2025: Real Sociedad - Villarreal - 2-3. For additional metrics over five matches: Villarreal averages 39.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Real Sociedad shows 52.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Villarreal has an average total of 2.8 goals over five games, while Real Sociedad has 3.4. In terms of goals scored: Villarreal averages 1.4, Real Sociedad 2, with both conceding 1.4 per match. Villarreal has gone over 2.5 goals in three out of five matches, staying under in two; Real Sociedad has the same - three over, two under. By halves: Villarreal has three out of five over 1.5 in the first half, one out of five in the second. Real Sociedad has two out of five over 1.5 in the first half and three out of five in the second. In terms of scoring intervals, Villarreal most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (67%), while Real Sociedad scores between the 76th and 90th (40%). In terms of goals conceded: Villarreal tends to concede most often in two intervals - 46-60 and 76-90 (40% each), while Real Sociedad also concedes most frequently in the 46-60 and 76-90 intervals (29% each). Considering both teams' average scoring rates, regular over 2.5 totals, and support by halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Villarreal averages 3 corners over five matches, while Real Sociedad averages 5.8. The frequency of total corners over 9.5: Villarreal - 1 out of 5, Real Sociedad - 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.8) is 8.5: total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.46, under 8.5 - 2.45. For the corner outcome, Villarreal is favored with odds of 1.66. In this matchup, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 8.5, given Real Sociedad's high activity and frequent total passes in their matches. Also, note Real Sociedad's individual corner metrics, where the average value is noticeably higher.