Prediction for match Vitoria — Atletico Mineiro

Match Preview

In Brazil's Serie A, Vitoria will face Atletico Mineiro on March 14, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Vitoria is priced at 2.63, a draw is at 3.18, and a win for Atletico Mineiro is at 2.87. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Vitoria 36.45%, draw 30.15%, Atletico Mineiro 33.40%. The most balanced betting option is a double chance on a draw or a win for Atletico Mineiro at 1.50, reflecting the close strength of the teams and a moderate likelihood of a draw.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Vitoria has averaged 40.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In the same period, Atletico Mineiro has maintained 47% possession, received 1.8 yellow cards, committed 10.6 fouls, and recorded 2.6 offsides. Vitoria's last three games: 11.03.2026 Bahia - Vitoria 1-1, 11.02.2026 Vitoria - Flamengo 1-2, 05.02.2026 Palmeiras - Vitoria 5-1. Atletico Mineiro's recent results: 11.03.2026 Atletico Mineiro - Internacional 1-0, 26.02.2026 Gremio - Atletico Mineiro 2-1, 11.02.2026 Atletico Mineiro - Remo 3-3. The last head-to-head match was on 31.08.2025: Vitoria - Atletico Mineiro 1-0.

How Many Goals in the Match Vitoria - Atletico Mineiro

Vitoria has an average total of 2.8 goals in their last five matches, while Atletico Mineiro has 3. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Vitoria has 2 out of 5, Atletico Mineiro 3 out of 5. By halves, Vitoria has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the second half, while Atletico Mineiro has 2 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Vitoria scores most frequently between 61-75 minutes (25%), Atletico Mineiro also between 61-75 minutes (33%). Vitoria concedes most in the 31-45 minute interval (50%), Atletico Mineiro in the final minutes, from 76 to 90 (50%). Average goals scored: Vitoria 1.2, Atletico Mineiro 1.4. Both teams are quite vulnerable in defense, conceding 1.6 goals per game. This suggests a likelihood of at least two goals, but due to the lack of consistency in over 2.5 goals, a safer bet is a double chance on a draw or Atletico Mineiro win.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Vitoria averages 5.8 corners per match, Atletico Mineiro 5.6. In the last five matches, Vitoria had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, Atletico Mineiro 4 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the closest to the average sum is 11.5, with two outcomes: over 11.5 corners at 1.35, under 11.5 at 1.27. Vitoria is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.80. Considering both teams' activity in taking corners and frequent over 9.5 totals, betting on over 11.5 corners appears logical for additional risk.