Prediction for match Vitoria — Botafogo, 09.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 9th, a Serie A match will take place between Vitoria and Botafogo. The odds for Botafogo to win are 2.35, for Vitoria - 3.00, and a draw is at 3.25. The probability breakdown is as follows: Vitoria's chances are estimated at 31.25%, a draw is 28.85%, and Botafogo's chance of winning is 39.90%. Botafogo is the favorite according to these odds, but the difference in probability between the teams is less than 9 percentage points, which doesn't give a significant edge to either side.

Team Recent Match Overview

In their last five matches, Vitoria has had an average possession of 40.6%, received 4.8 yellow cards, committed 16.8 fouls, and was caught offside 1.2 times per game. Botafogo has higher possession at 45.6%, with 3.8 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Vitoria's last three matches: 05.11 - Vitoria vs Internacional 1-0, 01.11 - Cruzeiro vs Vitoria 3-1, 25.10 - Vitoria vs Corinthians 0-1. Botafogo's last matches: 05.11 - Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama 3-0, 01.11 - Mirassol vs Botafogo 0-0, 26.10 - Botafogo vs Santos 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 17.07, Botafogo and Vitoria played to a 0-0 draw, which corresponds to an outcome of under 2.5 goals.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In a series of five matches, Vitoria had over 2.5 goals in 2 games and under in 3. Botafogo had over 2.5 in 3 out of 5, and under in 2. In the first half, Vitoria had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Botafogo had only 1 out of 5. In the second halves, Vitoria didn't play any matches with two or more goals, while Botafogo had 1 out of 5. Average goals: Vitoria 2.0, Botafogo 2.4. Goals scored: Vitoria - 1, Botafogo - 1.4. Both teams conceded an average of 1 goal. Vitoria most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (33%) and from the 61st to 75th minute (33%), while Botafogo scores from the 31st to 45th minute (40%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding between the 31st and 45th minute: Vitoria at 75%, Botafogo at 40%. Based on this data, a bet on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.67 seems most justified: the frequency of this outcome for both teams is around 2-3 out of 5, average goals do not exceed 2.4, and the distribution across halves does not suggest a surge in scoring.

Corner Bets

Vitoria averages 3.8 corners over the last five games, while Botafogo averages 4.8. For total corners over 9.5, Vitoria hit this mark in only 1 out of 5, while Botafogo did in 3 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.95, under 9.5 is at 1.85. Vitoria is the favorite for winning corners with odds of 1.83. Considering Botafogo's higher average for corners and more frequent hitting of the 9.5 total, a bet on over 9.5 corners at 1.95 or Botafogo's individual corner total seems logical.