Prediction for match Vitoria — Flamengo, 11.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On February 11, 2026, a Serie A match in Brazil will take place between Vitoria and Flamengo. The odds for Flamengo to win are 1.67, for a draw - 3.89, and for Vitoria's success - 5.40. The probability distribution is as follows: Flamengo - 57.52%, draw - 24.69%, Vitoria - 17.79%. Based on these figures, Flamengo stands out as the favorite. Additional outcomes with odds above 1.50: both teams to score - yes at 1.97, over 2.5 goals at 2.07, over 2.25 goals at 1.75, over 2.0 goals at 1.49, both teams to score - no at 1.75.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vitoria has an average possession of 37.8%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 14.4 fouls, and gets caught offside 1.4 times per game. Flamengo, in the same period, averages 64% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Vitoria's last three matches: 05.02.2026 - Palmeiras vs Vitoria - 5-1, 28.01.2026 - Vitoria vs Remo - 2-0, 07.12.2025 - Vitoria vs São Paulo - 1-0. Flamengo's recent matches: 08.02.2026 - Flamengo vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ - 7-1, 04.02.2026 - Flamengo vs Internacional - 1-1, 29.01.2026 - São Paulo vs Flamengo - 2-1. In their last head-to-head on 26.08.2025, Flamengo thrashed Vitoria 8-0.

Teams' Scoring Series

In terms of scoring in the last five matches, Vitoria's average total goals are 3, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. Flamengo's average total is 3.4, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Vitoria has 2 out of 5, Flamengo has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Vitoria and once for Flamengo. In the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred three times for both teams. Vitoria most frequently scored between the 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (21% each), while Flamengo scored most often between the 61-75 minutes (54%). Vitoria is most vulnerable to conceding goals between the 46-60 minutes (100%), and Flamengo between the 31-45 minutes (50%). Considering both teams regularly play over 2.5 goals and Flamengo consistently scores and concedes, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.07 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for Vitoria is 4.4, and for Flamengo, it's 8 per game. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. Among the available corner totals, the line of 11.5 is closest to the average sum (12.4). The odds: total corners over 11.5 - 4.46, under 11.5 - 1.15. For the corner outcome, Flamengo is the favorite with odds of 1.70. In this match, expect activity at both ends and a high number of flank crosses, especially from Flamengo, as indicated by their average number of corners and frequency of over 9.5 totals.