Prediction for match Vitoria — Mirassol

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Mirassol

In Brazil's Serie A on March 22, 2026, Vitoria will face Mirassol. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Vitoria is priced at 2.57, a draw at 3.31, and a win for Mirassol at 2.85. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Vitoria - 37.34%, draw - 28.99%, Mirassol - 33.67%. This suggests that neither team has a clear advantage, and bookmakers expect a closely contested match. The odds for total goals over 2.5 are 2.08, and under 1.78, reflecting moderate expectations for goal-scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Vitoria's last three matches were: March 19, 2026 - Gremio vs Vitoria - 2-0, March 14, 2026 - Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro - 2-0, March 11, 2026 - Bahia vs Vitoria - 1-1. During the same period, Mirassol played: March 18, 2026 - Mirassol vs Coritiba - 0-1, March 15, 2026 - Palmeiras vs Mirassol - 1-0, March 11, 2026 - Mirassol vs Santos - 2-2. In their last head-to-head on November 29, 2025, Vitoria defeated Mirassol 2-0. Over the last five matches, Vitoria has averaged 42% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 16.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Mirassol has averaged 60.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. This reflects a difference in play style: Mirassol controls the ball more and fouls less, while Vitoria plays more aggressively.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Vitoria has averaged 3 total goals per game, while Mirassol has averaged 2.6. Both teams score an average of 1 goal per game, with Vitoria conceding 2 and Mirassol 1.6. Vitoria has gone over 2.5 total goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and Mirassol in 3 out of 5, indicating a slight tendency for high-scoring games, but without a clear bias. The odds for over 1.5 goals are 1.30, and for over 2.0, they are 1.51, making a bet on over 2.0 goals interesting in terms of risk and probability balance. In the first half, Vitoria had 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Mirassol 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals. For goal intervals: Vitoria most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (31%), and concedes at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 50%). Mirassol's goals are most frequent in the 16-30 minute interval (33%), and they concede most often at the end (76-90 minutes, 43%). All this indicates the possibility of seeing at least two goals, and a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.51 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Vitoria averages 4.6 corners over five matches, while Mirassol averages 5.8. Together, this sums to 10.4, close to the 10.5 total line. In the last five matches, Vitoria went over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5, and Mirassol in 1 out of 5. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 2.16, under 10.5 are 1.57. Vitoria is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.95. Statistics show both teams are capable of creating chances and earning corners, so considering over 10.5 corners is logical, especially given the average figures for both teams.