Prediction for match Vukovar — Hajduk Split

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On March 21, 2026, in the HNL, Vukovar will face Hajduk Split. According to the odds, Hajduk Split is the favorite with a win priced at 1.67, giving them a 55.82% chance of success. A draw is offered at 3.70 (25.19%), while a Vukovar victory stands at 4.91, corresponding to an 18.99% probability. The odds clearly illustrate Hajduk Split's advantage, though a draw remains a possibility given its significant likelihood. Vukovar enters the match as the underdog, while Hajduk Split aims to affirm its status as the favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vukovar has averaged 54.8% ball possession, committed 16.4 fouls, recorded 2 offsides, and received 2 yellow cards per game. Hajduk Split shows more confidence with 58.2% possession, 14.2 fouls, 1.6 offsides, and 1.4 yellow cards. In recent games, Vukovar lost to Varaždin 0-2 (13.03.2026), fell to Rijeka 0-1 (08.03.2026), and was defeated by Osijek 0-2 (28.02.2026). Hajduk Split beat Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 (15.03.2026), lost to Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 (08.03.2026), and drew with Varaždin 1-1 (28.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on 21.12.2025, Hajduk Split came out on top 2-1.

Goals and Match Statistics

Vukovar averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over five matches, with an overall match goal average of 1.8. Hajduk Split has higher figures: 1.4 goals scored, 1 conceded, and 2.4 goals per game. For matches with over 2.5 total goals, Vukovar had only 1 out of 5, while Hajduk had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Hajduk Split exceeded 1.5 goals 3 times out of 5, while Vukovar did so once. In the second half, only 1 of Vukovar's 5 matches was high-scoring by this measure, and Hajduk Split had none. Vukovar most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 76-90 minute marks (33% each), while Hajduk Split scores most often between the 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (40% each). Vukovar tends to concede early in the first 15 minutes (33%) as well as between the 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (33% each). Hajduk Split is most vulnerable in the first 15 minutes (43%). Given Vukovar's low scoring and Hajduk Split's more stable attacking line, a bet on Hajduk Split's victory at odds of 1.67 seems optimal.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Vukovar averages 2.8 corners over five matches, while Hajduk Split averages 8. For games with over 9.5 corners, Vukovar had only 1 out of 5, while Hajduk had 4 out of 5. Among the totals available, the 10.5 total is closest to their combined average (10.8): over 10.5 is priced at 2.77, under 10.5 at 1.36. For corners, Hajduk Split is the favorite with odds of 1.51. In this match, a significant advantage for Hajduk in corners is expected, along with a high likelihood of exceeding the 10.5 total, considering their frequency and attacking activity.