Prediction for match Vukovar — Osijek

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the HNL tournament on May 2, 2026, Vukovar will face Osijek. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Osijek to win is priced at 2.28, Vukovar at 3.00, and a draw at 3.32. The probability percentages for the 1X2 outcomes are: Osijek 40.87%, Vukovar 31.06%, and draw 28.07%. Based on these figures, Osijek is considered the favorite, but the gap is not decisive, leaving room for various possible outcomes. The betting line also highlights bets on total goals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but the main interest is in the distribution of strengths between the teams regarding goal metrics and the frequency of over totals.

Review of Recent Matches

Vukovar, over a five-match series, shows an average possession of 39.2%, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Osijek, over the same period, holds possession 43.8% of the time, records 1.4 yellows, 12.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Vukovar's last three matches: 25.04.2026 Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 2-2, 22.04.2026 Vukovar - HNK Gorica 1-2, 18.04.2026 Istra 1961 - Vukovar 1-2. Osijek's: 25.04.2026 Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0, 21.04.2026 Hajduk Split - Osijek 0-1, 17.04.2026 Osijek - Varaždin 0-2. In head-to-head encounters, the last game was on 28.02.2026: Osijek - Vukovar 2-0.

Total Goals Statistics

Vukovar, over the span of 5 matches, shows scoring efficiency: 4 out of 5 games went over 2.5 total goals, with an average of 3.4 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2. By halves, Vukovar had 3 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves. Osijek, on the other hand, played under 2.5 total goals in 4 of their last 5 games, with an average total of 2.4 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8. By halves, Osijek had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in each half. In terms of intervals, Vukovar most frequently scores between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), Osijek in the same intervals and additionally in 76-90 (25% each). Vukovar most often concedes in 61-75 (27%), Osijek in the first 15 minutes (40%). Considering Vukovar's high scoring rate and Osijek's unstable defense, a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.88 seems reasonable, especially given that Vukovar regularly participates in high-scoring matches, while Osijek is not known for defensive reliability.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average corners, Vukovar delivers 3 per game over 5 matches, Osijek 4.8. In the last five encounters, Vukovar had only 1 out of 5 games over 9.5 corners, while Osijek had 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the one closest to the average sum (7.8) is 7.5. For the 7.5 corner total, the odds are: over 7.5 - 1.33, under 7.5 - 3.08. There is also a total of 8.5: over 8.5 - 1.56, under 8.5 - 2.36. The most logical bet on corners seems to be over 7.5, considering both teams average around 8 corners per match, and Osijek regularly achieves high numbers in this aspect.