Prediction for match Vukovar — Slaven Belupo

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On February 20, 2026, in Croatia, Vukovar will face Slaven Belupo in the HNL. According to the 1X2 odds, Slaven Belupo is the favorite with odds of 2.48 and a probability of 37.38%, while Vukovar is at 2.77 (33.47%), and a draw is priced at 3.18 (29.15%). The betting line for total goals highlights the under 2.5 goals option at odds of 1.82, reflecting bookmakers' cautious approach to the expected scoring in this match. The over 2.5 goals option is at 1.94, but the recent stats of both teams suggest a lower-scoring scenario.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Vukovar played as follows: February 15, 2026 - HNK Gorica vs. Vukovar - 0-0, February 7, 2026 - Vukovar vs. Istra 1961 - 3-2, February 2, 2026 - Dinamo Zagreb vs. Vukovar - 3-1. Slaven Belupo's last three games: February 13, 2026 - Slaven Belupo vs. Lokomotiva Zagreb - 2-0, February 7, 2026 - Hajduk Split vs. Slaven Belupo - 2-0, January 31, 2026 - Slaven Belupo vs. Varaždin - 0-2. In their head-to-head on January 13, 2026, Slaven Belupo and Vukovar drew 2-2. Additional statistics show Vukovar averages 42% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game over five matches. Slaven Belupo averages 53.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per match. These figures indicate Slaven Belupo's higher activity in tackling and ball recovery, as well as a greater tendency for offsides.

Teams' Goal Scoring Trends

In their last five matches, Vukovar has an average total of 3 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Slaven Belupo, over the same period, has an average total of 2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Vukovar has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Slaven Belupo has only 1 out of 5 over and 4 under. In the first half, Vukovar has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Slaven Belupo has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Vukovar records 4 out of 5 over 1.5, and Slaven Belupo 1 out of 5. Vukovar most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute (27%) and 76-90 (27%) intervals and concedes most often from the 61st to the 75th minute (40%). Slaven Belupo scores most frequently at the end of the match (76-90, 33%) and concedes evenly across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 at 25% each. Despite Vukovar's relatively high scoring, Slaven Belupo's low attacking activity and defensive reliability in recent matches suggest opting for under 2.5 goals. Supporting this option is the fact that only one of Slaven Belupo's last five games ended with three or more goals, and their average total goals do not exceed 2 per match. Vukovar also lacks consistent attacking efficiency, especially in the first half, where over 1.5 was achieved only once in five attempts.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Vukovar averages 3 corners per game, while Slaven Belupo averages 4.6. Both teams have only 1 out of 5 matches going over 9.5 corners, with the rest going under. For a total of 8.5 corners, both outcomes are available: over 8.5 corners is at 1.94, under 8.5 at 1.77. Slaven Belupo is favored to win on corners with odds of 2.04. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequency of total corners, it is logical to consider betting on under 8.5 corners or on Slaven Belupo to win on corners. Overall, neither team stands out for high corner productivity, as confirmed by their recent results in this metric.