Prediction for match Watford — Birmingham, 01.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Championship on January 1, 2026, Watford will face Birmingham. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Watford's victory is at 2.37, Birmingham's at 2.94, and a draw at 3.28. The probabilities of outcomes by percentage are: Watford - 39.55%, draw - 28.57%, Birmingham - 31.88%. Based on these numbers, Watford is highlighted as the favorite, although the gap with Birmingham is not too wide. Goal totals options: over 2.5 goals is at 1.98, under 2.5 at 1.80. Both teams to score: yes - 1.73, no - 2.00. Among individual totals: Watford's over 1.5 goals is at 2.15, Birmingham's over 1.5 goals is at 2.60. Double chance X2 for Birmingham is offered at 1.55, and 1X for Watford at 1.37. Based on these odds and probabilities, the match promises to be quite competitive, but with a slight edge towards Watford.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Watford shows average figures: 50.4% ball possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Birmingham, over the same period, holds 53.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, Watford beat Norwich City 1-0 (29.12.2025), won against Leicester 2-1 (26.12.2025), and overcame Stoke City 1-0 (20.12.2025). Birmingham drew with Southampton 1-1 (29.12.2025), also drew with Derby County 1-1 (26.12.2025), and lost to Sheffield United 0-3 (20.12.2025). In their head-to-head on December 1, 2025, Birmingham was stronger, defeating Watford 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, both teams had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. Watford averages 1.4 goals scored per match and concedes 0.8, while Birmingham scores 0.8 and concedes 1.6. The average total goals per game for Watford is 2.2, and for Birmingham is 2.4. By halves, Watford had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and in the second half 1 out of 5. Birmingham had over 1.5 goals in the first half 1 time out of 5, and in the second 2 out of 5. By goal intervals: Watford most often scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (33% each). Birmingham most frequently scores between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (25% each), and concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%). Given that both teams have average goal stats and the over 2.5 totals are evenly distributed, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average corners, Watford wins 4.8 per game, Birmingham - 6.2. Over the last 5 matches, Watford's total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times, Birmingham's 3 times. Combining the average figures of both teams, we get 11 corners per match. For a total of 11 corners, the odds are: over 11 - 2.63, under 11 - 1.40. In the corners outcome, Watford is favored at 1.74. Based on these figures, a bet on over 11 corners can be considered, given the high averages of both teams and the frequent occurrence of high totals in recent matches.