Prediction for match Watford — Swansea

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on January 31, Watford will face Swansea City. The odds for a Watford win are 2.11, a draw is priced at 3.28, and a Swansea City victory is at 3.46. In terms of probabilities: Watford 44.38%, draw 28.55%, Swansea City 27.07%. Based on these percentages, Watford emerges as the favorite, but Swansea City also has a chance for a positive result. Interestingly, the difference in odds between the teams is not that significant, adding intrigue to the match.

What Do Watford and Swansea City's Recent Matches Show?

In their last three matches, Watford played as follows: January 24 - Blackburn Rovers vs. Watford 1-1, January 21 - Watford vs. Portsmouth 1-1, January 17 - Watford vs. Millwall 0-2. Swansea City played their last three matches as follows: January 24 - Hull City vs. Swansea City 2-1, January 20 - Swansea City vs. Blackburn Rovers 3-1, January 17 - Swansea City vs. Birmingham 1-1. Over a five-match series, Watford averages 49.6% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 7.8 fouls, and records 0.4 offsides per game. Swansea City's stats: possession 56.8%, yellow cards 1, fouls 8.4, offsides 2.2. In their last head-to-head on August 23, 2025, Swansea City and Watford drew 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Watford vs. Swansea City Match?

In Watford's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 2 times, under 3 times. For Swansea City, over 2.5 goals was recorded 4 times, under once. On average, over 5 games, Watford scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.8, with a total match average of 3 goals. Swansea City scores 1.6 and concedes 1.6, with an overall goal average of 3.2. In the first half, Watford had over 1.5 goals 3 times, Swansea City 2 times. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times. Goal intervals: Watford most frequently scores between 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (20% each), while Swansea City scores most frequently between 16-30 minutes (33%). Watford most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (60%), Swansea City between 46-60 minutes (60%). Given these stats, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.07 seems logical, considering Swansea City's scoring ability and Watford's not-so-reliable defense.

Analysis of Total Corners

Watford's average corners over 5 matches are 5.6, while Swansea City's are 6.4. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times for Watford, 4 times for Swansea City. Among the available totals for corners, the closest to the average sum (12) is the total of 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.75, under 9.5 at 1.96. For the corner outcome, Watford is the favorite with odds of 1.67. Based on the average values and the frequency of overs for Swansea City, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly deliver at least 5 corners per match, further supporting the idea of an over total.