Prediction for match Wellington Phoenix — Macarthur

Match Analysis: Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur

The A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur is scheduled for November 22, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, the bookmakers don't see a clear favorite: Wellington Phoenix's win is priced at 2.58, while Macarthur's victory is at 2.52. The probability of Wellington Phoenix winning is 36.16%, Macarthur's is 37.02%, and a draw is estimated at 26.81% with odds of 3.48. Such parity in odds indicates high unpredictability, and the percentage distribution shows no clear bias towards either side. It's important to note that in matches like these, statistical details and game nuances can play a decisive role.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Wellington Phoenix has an average possession of 61.8%, records 1 yellow card, 8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Macarthur lags in possession with 47.6% but receives more yellow cards (3), commits more fouls (10), and has slightly fewer offsides (0.8). In their last three matches, Wellington Phoenix played as follows: November 8, 2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland 1-2, November 2, 2025 - Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix 1-1, October 26, 2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar 2-1. During the same period, Macarthur's results were: November 9, 2025 - Sydney vs Macarthur 2-0, November 1, 2025 - Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1, October 27, 2025 - Macarthur vs Adelaide United 2-1. Their last head-to-head was on January 20, 2025, where Macarthur lost to Wellington Phoenix 1-2, with the total over 2.5 goals hitting. Historically, matches between these teams tend to be high-scoring.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur?

In the five-match series, Wellington Phoenix averages 2.8 goals per match, while Macarthur averages 2.4. Wellington Phoenix scores 1.2 on average and concedes 1.6; Macarthur scores 0.8 and concedes 1.6. Wellington Phoenix has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and Macarthur in 2 of 5. Both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 of 5, and over 1.5 in the second half: Wellington Phoenix 1 of 5, Macarthur 2 of 5. Wellington Phoenix most often scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), while Macarthur scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (43%). Wellington Phoenix concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), Macarthur evenly across the second half (20% each). Considering the averages and goal distribution by halves, a bet on both teams to score: yes seems justified, especially with odds of 1.57 and Wellington Phoenix's regular over 2.5 goal hits. Despite Macarthur's recent low scoring, they are capable of finding the net, and Wellington Phoenix regularly concedes.

Corner Totals Analysis

Wellington Phoenix averages 5.8 corners per game, while Macarthur averages 4. In the five-match stretch, Wellington Phoenix exceeded 9.5 corners in 2 of 5, Macarthur in 4 of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.52, under 9.5 at 2.27. In the corner outcome line, Macarthur is favored with odds of 1.95. Given Macarthur's tendency for a high number of corners and Wellington Phoenix's solid average, a bet on over 9.5 corners, as well as Macarthur to win the corner count, seems logical.