Prediction for match Wellington Phoenix — Perth Glory

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the upcoming A-League round on 14.03.2026, Wellington Phoenix will face Perth Glory. The 1X2 odds are distributed as follows: Wellington Phoenix to win is priced at 2.19, a draw is at 3.62, and Perth Glory to win is at 3.28. In terms of probabilities: Wellington Phoenix has a 44.00% chance of winning, a draw is at 26.62%, and Perth Glory has a 29.38% chance. The total goals markets are also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is at 1.76, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.58. Both teams have an attacking profile, which is reflected in the odds and percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

Wellington Phoenix, over the last 5 matches, averages 46.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Perth Glory, in the same period, shows 42.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Wellington Phoenix played as follows: 06.03.2026 - Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix - 1-1, 01.03.2026 - Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney - 0-1, 21.02.2026 - Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland - 0-5. Perth Glory's last three matches: 08.03.2026 - Auckland vs Perth Glory - 2-2, 28.02.2026 - Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory - 1-1, 20.02.2026 - Adelaide United vs Perth Glory - 4-0. The last head-to-head match was on 18.10.2025: Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix - 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Wellington Phoenix, in a five-match series, averages 3.4 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 2.4 on average. Perth Glory's average is even higher at 3.6, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4. For matches going over 2.5 goals: Wellington Phoenix has 3 out of 5, and Perth Glory has 4 out of 5. By halves, Wellington Phoenix has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half, while Perth Glory has 3 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Wellington Phoenix most often scores and concedes between the 31-45 minute mark (40% and 33% respectively). Perth Glory distributes goals evenly across all intervals, 20% in each of the five segments, and concedes more frequently between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). This profile of both teams, with regular occurrences of over 2.5 goals, high scoring averages, and support by halves, makes the bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 an optimal choice for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Wellington Phoenix averages 4.8 corners per game, Perth Glory - 3.2. Over the last 5 matches, both teams have 2 instances of over 9.5 corners. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is at 1.68, under 9.5 is at 2.03. For corners, Wellington Phoenix is favored with odds of 1.65. In this matchup, expecting 8-10 corners is logical, considering both teams' averages, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified based on the current numbers.