Prediction for match Wellington Phoenix — Sydney

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The match between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney in the A-League is scheduled for 01.03.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Sydney is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.02, corresponding to a 47.77% probability. Wellington Phoenix's win is at 3.56 (27.10%), with a draw at 3.84 (25.13%). The odds for over 2.5 goals stand at 1.61, while under 2.5 is at 2.41. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.49, no at 2.44. Individual team totals: Wellington Phoenix over 1.5 goals is at 2.44, Sydney over 1.5 goals at 1.75. For double chance, 1X is at 1.83, X2 at 1.31, and 12 at 1.28. These figures suggest that bookmakers expect an active match with goals from both sides, but the odds and probabilities favor Sydney.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Wellington Phoenix has an average possession of 49.6%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 7.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Sydney averages 58.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Recent matches for Wellington Phoenix: 21.02.2026 - Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland - 0-5, 13.02.2026 - Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix - 2-2, 06.02.2026 - Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - 2-3. For Sydney: 21.02.2026 - Sydney vs Brisbane Roar - 1-0, 17.02.2026 - Sydney vs Auckland - 1-1, 14.02.2026 - Sydney vs Adelaide United - 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 18.01.2026, Sydney lost to Wellington Phoenix 0-2. It's also worth noting that in the last five matches, Wellington Phoenix drew twice, while Sydney won twice, lost once, and drew twice.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Wellington Phoenix has seen over 2.5 goals in all five, while Sydney had over 2.5 goals in two and under in three. The average goals per match for Wellington Phoenix is 4.6, and for Sydney, it's 2.4. Both teams score an average of 1.4 goals per game, but Wellington Phoenix concedes 3.2, while Sydney concedes 1. By halves, Wellington Phoenix had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 matches, and over 1.5 in the second half in 4 out of 5. Sydney had over 1.5 in the first half in 2 out of 5, and the same in the second half. Wellington Phoenix most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (27%), while Sydney scores most between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). In terms of goals conceded, Wellington Phoenix most frequently concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (31%), and Sydney in the final 15 minutes (50%). This profile suggests high scoring potential for Wellington Phoenix and consistent attack from Sydney, but Wellington Phoenix's defense is vulnerable. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.61 seems justified: Wellington Phoenix consistently plays high-scoring matches, and Sydney can keep up the pace and score at least one or two goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Wellington Phoenix takes 4.2 corners per match, and Sydney takes 6. In the last 5 games, Wellington Phoenix had 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners, while Sydney had 4 out of 5. The total corners closest to the average sum (10.2) is the line at 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.68, under 9.5 at 2.03. Sydney is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.79. Considering both teams average over 10 corners combined, and Sydney consistently reaches 6 or more, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical. Additionally, Sydney's individual corners total could be considered, given their attacking activity and frequent corner totals in recent matches.